Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:05:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F1
0xf185…bf3c
crypto · 9 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$6 -19%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses3 / 5
Open positions1
Markets (closed)8 / 9
History coverage1d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day20.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 1 History 8 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$6
14 days−$6
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 58¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +38%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% −$6
other 7% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-34.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -27.3% -34.2% 38% 25% -28.5%
≤30d 8 -27.3% -34.2% 38% 25% -28.5%
≤90d 8 -27.3% -34.2% 38% 25% -28.5%
all 8 -27.3% -34.2% 38% 25% -28.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -34.2% 25% -28.5%
10% -40.5% 25% -35.3%
15% -46.3% 12% -41.6%
20% -51.5% 0% -47.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.02 · official $2.02 (match) · 20 history records