trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 | Jun 06 | $101 | +$77 | +76% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June? | Jun 05 | $8,099 | −$7,686 | -95% |
| Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playof | Jun 04 | $100 | +$17 | +17% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? | Jun 01 | $22,096 | +$23,891 | +108% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May? | May 23 | $45,240 | −$36,678 | -81% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 11-17? | May 16 | $292 | −$285 | -98% |
| Will Valve remove Dust 2 from the Map Pool? | May 03 | $100 | −$27 | -27% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | May 03 | $1,220 | +$3,122 | +256% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April? | Apr 07 | $800 | −$777 | -97% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of March? | Apr 05 | $1,200 | +$138 | +12% |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Gr | Apr 05 | $200 | +$18 | +9% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? | Mar 22 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,900 by end of March? | Mar 22 | $799 | −$799 | -100% |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs | Mar 22 | $200 | −$7 | -3% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | Mar 15 | $1,060 | −$1,060 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -9.3% | -18.0% | 50% | 50% | -93.5% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -12.4% | -20.8% | 50% | 50% | -34.1% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -15.2% | -23.3% | 40% | 33% | -31.9% |
| all | 15 | -15.2% | -23.3% | 40% | 33% | -31.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -23.3% | 33% | -31.9% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -30.7% | 20% | -38.4% |
| 15% | -37.4% | 20% | -44.3% |
| 20% | -43.5% | 20% | -49.8% |