Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:06:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F1
0xf175…12c7
sports · 398 markets active 12h ago
0.0score
−$161 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$161 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized−$161
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses197 / 199
Est. fees paid−$22
Open positions2
Markets (closed)396 / 398
History coverage5d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day148.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 2 History 396 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$40
7 days−$161
14 days−$161
30 days−$161
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Ralph Norman win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election? No 98¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$0 (+2%)
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card) Sean OMalley 79¢ 78¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5) Detroit Tigers 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5 Over 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 Under 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5) Texas Rangers 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-06-10? Yes 37¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5 Under 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5) Minnesota Twins 74¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5 Over 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 Under 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Over 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-11.5) PortlandFire 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-12.5) Spurs 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Hungary vs. Kazakhstan end in a draw? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5 Under 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner Misa Esports 0¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5 Under 82¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-9.5) PortlandFire 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-3.5) Knicks 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5 Under 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5) Tampa Bay Rays 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5 Under 48¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5) San Diego Padres 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 Over 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5) Jun 13 $1 +$1 +101%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm Jun 13 $4 −$1 -15%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 Jun 13 $3 +$2 +57%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $9 −$1 -15%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $10 −$3 -29%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 Jun 13 $7 $0 -1%
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5) Jun 13 $7 −$4 -56%
Spread: Athletics (-2.5) Jun 13 $9 −$2 -23%
Spread: Athletics (-3.5) Jun 13 $4 $0 +6%
Spread: Athletics (-4.5) Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) Jun 13 $9 −$1 -9%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $10 −$2 -24%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 13 $5 −$2 -44%
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5) Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5) Jun 13 $1 +$4 +344%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $5 −$2 -43%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $2 −$1 -30%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5) Jun 13 $6 −$2 -39%
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) Jun 13 $5 +$1 +27%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $6 +$1 +12%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $5 +$4 +91%
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5) Jun 13 $3 $0 +0%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $2 +$2 +118%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $3 +$1 +21%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Spread: New York Mets (-3.5) Jun 13 $3 −$1 -45%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5) Jun 13 $3 +$1 +24%
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $4 +$2 +45%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $9 +$3 +29%
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) Jun 13 $8 −$4 -51%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 13 $9 −$3 -38%
Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5) Jun 13 $5 +$4 +86%
Spread: Houston Astros (-4.5) Jun 13 $4 +$2 +58%
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) Jun 13 $3 $0 +13%
Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5) Jun 13 $3 −$1 -32%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 156.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $5 +$8 +165%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $1 +$1 +62%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $6 −$4 -66%
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-9.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5) Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $1 +$1 +79%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $9 +$3 +27%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$170
other 2% +$8
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 91¢ $3 12h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 BUY Under 95¢ $2 12h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 91¢ $3 12h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 49¢ $1 12h
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5) BUY San Francisco Giants 22¢ $1 12h
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5) BUY Chicago Cubs 96¢ $1 12h
Spread: Athletics (-2.5) BUY Athletics 23¢ $1 12h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 54¢ $1 12h
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5) BUY Colorado Rockies 13¢ $3 12h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 BUY Over 34¢ $1 12h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 BUY Over 22¢ $2 12h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 BUY Over 17¢ $1 12h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 BUY Over 40¢ $4 12h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 BUY Over 57¢ $3 12h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 BUY Under 56¢ $1 12h
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5) BUY Los Angeles Angels 100¢ $3 12h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 33¢ $1 12h
Spread: Athletics (-3.5) BUY Colorado Rockies 94¢ $4 12h
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5) BUY Colorado Rockies 22¢ $1 12h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 BUY Under 56¢ $1 12h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 BUY Under 76¢ $2 12h
Spread: Athletics (-2.5) BUY Colorado Rockies 75¢ $1 12h
Spread: Athletics (-4.5) BUY Colorado Rockies 96¢ $3 12h
Spread: Athletics (-2.5) BUY Athletics 39¢ $1 12h
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) BUY Athletics 57¢ $1 12h
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) BUY Athletics 51¢ $2 12h
Spread: Athletics (-2.5) BUY Athletics 36¢ $1 12h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 27¢ $1 12h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 16¢ $1 12h
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5) BUY Tampa Bay Rays 27¢ $1 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-14.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 396 -5.3% -14.4% 50% 44% -17.9%
≤30d 396 -5.3% -14.4% 50% 44% -17.9%
≤90d 396 -5.3% -14.4% 50% 44% -17.9%
all 396 -5.3% -14.4% 50% 44% -17.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover148.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.4% 44% -17.9%
10% ← realistic here -22.6% 39% -25.8%
15% -30.0% 30% -33.0%
20% -36.9% 25% -39.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.58 · official $7.58 (match) · 1076 history records