Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:16:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F1
0xf16f…9117
sports · 626 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$163 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$159 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$229
Realized−$159
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses316 / 241
Est. fees paid−$34
Open positions69
Markets (closed)557 / 626
History coverage21d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day69.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit81%
Chart Positions 69 History 557 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$7
14 days−$85
30 days−$160
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? No 91¢ 92¢ $13 $13 +$0 (+1%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? No 46¢ 42¢ $12 $11 −$1 (-7%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? No 12¢ 10¢ $12 $10 −$3 (-21%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? No 92¢ 93¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+1%)
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? No 91¢ 90¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Spain (-2.5) Cabo Verde 48¢ 48¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+0%)
Will France win on 2026-06-16? No 32¢ 34¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Curaçao 50¢ 52¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+5%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? No 59¢ 62¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+4%)
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? No 93¢ 94¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? No 5¢ 6¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+12%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5 Under 45¢ 38¢ $6 $5 −$1 (-16%)
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22? No 97¢ 96¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? No 88¢ 88¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? No 74¢ 72¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Spread: Germany (-2.5) Germany 68¢ 68¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+0%)
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? No 88¢ 88¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+0%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5 Under 69¢ 60¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-14%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? No 75¢ 74¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Dallas Wings (-6.5) PortlandFire 62¢ 62¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+0%)
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? No 42¢ 40¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-6%)
Curaçao leading at halftime? No 98¢ 97¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 38¢ 36¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-4%)
Brazil leading at halftime? No 59¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+69%)
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5) Ecuador 53¢ 61¢ $2 $3 +$0 (+15%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $17 +$1 +7%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5) Jun 13 $4 +$1 +30%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $2 +$1 +72%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $2 $0 +25%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $2 $0 +20%
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $5 +$6 +122%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $9 +$11 +122%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $14 +$4 +28%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $8 +$2 +25%
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Jun 12 $7 +$2 +33%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2 +$1 +49%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +12%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $3 +$2 +72%
Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5 Jun 05 $2 +$2 +88%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 05 $5 −$5 -100%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 05 $11 −$11 -100%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Jun 05 $14 −$9 -63%
Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever Jun 05 $3 −$3 -100%
Will France vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? Jun 04 $5 +$4 +69%
Will France win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $11 +$9 +88%
ITF Wuning: Rina Saigo vs Jiaqi Wang Jun 04 $15 −$1 -4%
Perugia: Francesco Forti vs Jelle Sels Jun 04 $3 $0 +15%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Seattle Storm Jun 04 $8 −$8 -100%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 160.5 Jun 04 $9 $0 +5%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros Jun 04 $2 +$1 +56%
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) Jun 04 $4 $0 -11%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 204.5 Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) Jun 04 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-3.5) Jun 04 $3 +$3 +112%
Spread: Spurs (-1.5) Jun 04 $9 $0 -4%
Albania vs. Israel: O/U 1.5 Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $10 −$10 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 03 $3 −$3 -100%
Tyler: Timo Legout vs Andres Andrade Jun 03 $2 +$3 +163%
Tyler: Fajing Sun vs Andre Ilagan Jun 03 $11 +$1 +8%
Birmingham: Elias Ymer vs Christopher O'Connell Jun 03 $25 −$25 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider Jun 03 $11 +$3 +30%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 79% −$250
other 21% +$86
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5 BUY Under 42¢ $2 4m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 11.5 BUY Over 77¢ $2 4m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 62¢ $2 4m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 82¢ $2 4m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 6¢ $2 4m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5 BUY Under 42¢ $2 4m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 57¢ $1 4m
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) BUY Morocco 85¢ $2 4m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 39¢ $1 4m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 38¢ $1 4m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 11.5 BUY Over 27¢ $1 12m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5 BUY Under 62¢ $1 13m
Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5) BUY Connecticut Sun 44¢ $1 13m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5 BUY Under 62¢ $2 14m
Spread: Indiana Fever (-11.5) BUY Indiana Fever 44¢ $1 16m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 75¢ $2 18m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 37¢ $1 24m
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY No 74¢ $1 24m
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 30¢ $2 1h
CSD Colo-Colo vs. CD Cobresal: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 61¢ $2 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 29¢ $2 1h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? BUY No 97¢ $2 1h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 79¢ $2 1h
Brazil leading at halftime? BUY No 59¢ $2 1h
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) BUY Brazil 96¢ $2 1h
Spread: Dallas Wings (-6.5) BUY PortlandFire 62¢ $1 1h
Spread: Dallas Wings (-6.5) BUY PortlandFire 62¢ $1 1h
Spread: Dallas Wings (-6.5) BUY PortlandFire 62¢ $1 1h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY San Diego Padres 83¢ $2 1h
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5) BUY Detroit Tigers 76¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-12.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 -18.4% -26.1% 56% 52% -15.0%
≤30d 557 -3.0% -12.2% 57% 44% -14.0%
≤90d 557 -3.0% -12.2% 57% 44% -14.0%
all 557 -3.0% -12.2% 57% 44% -14.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover69.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.2% 44% -14.0%
10% ← realistic here -20.6% 34% -22.2%
15% -28.3% 24% -29.8%
20% -35.3% 20% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $229.11 · official $229.30 (match) · 2007 history records