Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:11:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F1
0xf16c…57b4
crypto · 959 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses603 / 356
Open positions0
Markets (closed)959 / 959
History coverage22d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day117.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 959 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$34
7 days+$13
14 days−$73
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$2 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $34 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $29 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$1 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$3 -24%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $29 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $29 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $29 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $29 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $14 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $40 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 11m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $10 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 21m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 21m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 46m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $19 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $15 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $19 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $19 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $4 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-8.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 429 -0.6% -10.1% 82% 5% -9.2%
≤30d 959 +1.0% -8.6% 63% 21% -9.4%
≤90d 959 +1.0% -8.6% 63% 21% -9.4%
all 959 +1.0% -8.6% 63% 21% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover117.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.6% 21% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -17.3% 17% -18.1%
15% -25.3% 14% -26.0%
20% -32.6% 11% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records