Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:19:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F1
0xf160…c3e7
sports · 26 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$10,732 -50%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$10,722 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Net worth$950
Realized−$10,722
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses7 / 18
Whale WR (big bets)14%
Est. fees paid−$301
Open positions1
Markets (closed)25 / 26
History coverage50d
Avg bet$831
Trades / day1.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 1 History 25 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,022
7 days−$2,022
14 days−$289
30 days−$7,632
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 50¢ 50¢ $960 $950 −$10 (-1%)
Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs G2 NORD (+1.5) Galions 44¢ $324 $0 −$324 (-100%)
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5 Under 49¢ $1,401 $0 −$1,401 (-100%)
Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs Forsaken (+1.5) Forsaken 61¢ $1,688 $0 −$1,688 (-100%)
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs FURIA Esports 50¢ $738 $0 −$738 (-100%)
Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 178.5 Over 47¢ $2,369 $0 −$2,369 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner GamerLegion 33¢ $367 $0 −$367 (-100%)
Valorant: MIBR vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs MIBR 57¢ $601 $0 −$601 (-100%)
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winner Team Vitality 50¢ $249 $0 −$249 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 KT Rolster 28¢ $425 $0 −$425 (-100%)
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 DN SOOPers 24¢ $206 $0 −$206 (-100%)
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs Team Heretics 65¢ $848 $0 −$848 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Dplus KIA 24¢ $585 $0 −$585 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 219.5 Under 51¢ $2,403 $0 −$2,403 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs INOX Division (+1.5) Jun 12 $278 −$9 -3%
Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs Forsaken (+1.5) Jun 11 $1,688 −$1,688 -100%
Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs G2 NORD (+1.5) Jun 11 $330 −$324 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 05 $2,554 +$403 +16%
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) Jun 01 $843 +$1,587 +188%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs May 31 $833 −$258 -31%
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 27 $434 −$425 -98%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 27 $211 −$206 -98%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winner May 17 $509 −$249 -49%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner May 17 $375 −$367 -98%
Valorant: MIBR vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs May 17 $609 −$601 -99%
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 219.5 May 16 $2,438 −$2,403 -99%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 14 $51 +$15 +29%
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage May 14 $749 −$738 -98%
Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 178.5 May 14 $2,406 −$2,369 -98%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5 May 13 $1,411 −$1,401 -99%
Washington Mystics vs. Toronto Tempo May 09 $383 +$371 +97%
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs May 07 $857 −$848 -99%
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5) May 02 $395 +$313 +79%
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 01 $598 −$585 -98%
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 27 $42 +$15 +36%
Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 214.5 Apr 26 $1,650 −$1,650 -100%
Will FC Hermannstadt win on 2026-04-24? Apr 25 $135 −$135 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs Apr 25 $806 +$882 +109%
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-04-23? Apr 24 $51 −$51 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$10,546
other 1% −$186
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 50¢ $974 1h
Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs INOX Division (+1.5) BUY INOX Division 51¢ $278 14h
Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs Forsaken (+1.5) BUY Forsaken 61¢ $102 32h
Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs Forsaken (+1.5) BUY Forsaken 61¢ $762 33h
Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs Forsaken (+1.5) BUY Forsaken 61¢ $4 33h
Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs Forsaken (+1.5) BUY Forsaken 61¢ $19 33h
Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs Forsaken (+1.5) BUY Forsaken 61¢ $344 33h
Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs Forsaken (+1.5) BUY Forsaken 61¢ $458 33h
Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs G2 NORD (+1.5) BUY Galions 44¢ $330 34h
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Anyones Legend 87¢ $15 7d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Anyones Legend 86¢ $2,539 7d
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) BUY Team WE 34¢ $281 12d
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) BUY Team WE 34¢ $562 12d
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs BUY Sentinels 43¢ $501 13d
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs BUY FlyQuest 57¢ $332 13d
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BUY KT Rolster 28¢ $217 16d
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BUY KT Rolster 28¢ $71 16d
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BUY KT Rolster 28¢ $146 16d
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BUY DN SOOPers 24¢ $9 16d
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BUY DN SOOPers 24¢ $9 16d
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BUY DN SOOPers 24¢ $75 16d
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BUY DN SOOPers 24¢ $119 16d
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winner SELL Team Heretics 50¢ $133 26d
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Vitality 50¢ $252 26d
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner BUY GamerLegion 33¢ $38 26d
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner BUY GamerLegion 33¢ $337 26d
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winner SELL Team Heretics 51¢ $97 26d
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winner SELL Team Heretics 51¢ $3 26d
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winner SELL Team Heretics 51¢ $20 26d
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 50¢ $256 26d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-48.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -67.8% -70.9% 0% 0% -89.4%
≤30d 15 -53.4% -57.8% 20% 20% -59.1%
≤90d 25 -43.2% -48.6% 28% 28% -57.5%
all 25 -43.2% -48.6% 28% 28% -57.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -48.6% 28% -57.5%
10% -53.5% 24% -61.6%
15% -58.0% 20% -65.3%
20% -62.1% 16% -68.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $950.43 · official $950.43 (match) · 81 history records