trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +0.7% | -8.8% | 40% | 0% | -8.9% |
| ≤30d | 15 | +133.4% | +111.2% | 53% | 7% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 15 | +133.4% | +111.2% | 53% | 7% | -9.4% |
| all | 27 | +70.7% | +54.5% | 52% | 7% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +54.5% | 7% | -9.6% |
| 10% | +39.7% | 4% | -18.2% |
| 15% | +26.2% | 4% | -26.1% |
| 20% | +13.8% | 4% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | Jun 20 | $70 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | Jun 20 | $45 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 20 | $49 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 19 | $46 | +$2 | +4% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 17 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 07 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 07 | $44 | +$1 | +2% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 05 | $47 | $0 | +0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 05 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 05 | $126 | −$3 | -2% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 04 | $42 | +$1 | +2% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | May 31 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 30 | $49 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | May 29 | $7 | $0 | -4% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 28 | $25 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 16 | $1 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025? | Jun 29 | $11 | −$1 | -5% |
| Will Elon tweet 300–324 times June 6–13? | Jun 14 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by 200,000 or more betwe | Jun 09 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon tweet 150–174 times June 6–13? | Jun 09 | $11 | +$2 | +16% |
| Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Jun 08 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will reconciliation bill be passed by June 30? | Jun 07 | $12 | −$1 | -7% |
| Will Oh Se-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 06 | $11 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 31 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on April 30? | Apr 09 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference? | Apr 08 | $4 | $0 | +3% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March | Mar 28 | $11 | $0 | +0% |