Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:57:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F1
0xf146…8a4c
crypto · 320 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$373 -27%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$365 · open −$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$15
Realized−$365
Unrealized−$7
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses126 / 182
Est. fees paid−$16
Open positions12
Markets (closed)308 / 320
History coverage21d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day41.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 12 History 308 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$39
14 days−$81
30 days−$365
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Down 63¢ 94¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+48%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Down 74¢ 96¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+30%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Down 72¢ 98¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+35%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Down 68¢ 58¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-15%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Down 64¢ 51¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-20%)
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison? No 94¢ 98¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No 88¢ 92¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? No 95¢ 96¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No 93¢ 94¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Trump out as President by June 30? No 99¢ 99¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will Tyreek Hill play for the Philadelphia Eagles next? No 99¢ 93¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-6%)
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 1.5 Under 49¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5 Under 40¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Vicenza: Mika Brunold vs Massimo Giunta Massimo Giunta 21¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Gael Monfils Gael Monfils 35¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Tabilo vs Kamil Majchrzak Kamil Majchrzak 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Ella Seidel Ella Seidel 12¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage PARIVISION 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +47%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +51%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +22%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +37%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +112%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +91%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +105%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 08 $3 −$3 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 61% −$277
other 18% −$45
crypto 17% −$38
culture 2% −$3
politics 1% −$3
world 1% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 8m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 21m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $2 31m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $2 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-26.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 133 -21.2% -28.7% 48% 44% -25.7%
≤30d 308 -18.9% -26.6% 41% 35% -31.3%
≤90d 308 -18.9% -26.6% 41% 35% -31.3%
all 308 -18.9% -26.6% 41% 35% -31.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover41.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.6% 35% -31.3%
10% ← realistic here -33.6% 32% -37.8%
15% -40.0% 25% -43.8%
20% -45.9% 21% -49.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $15.31 · official $11.53 · 965 history records