Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:29:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F1
0xf13f…bcfb
crypto · 991 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$122 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$122 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$26
Realized−$122
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses978 / 12
Open positions0
Markets (closed)990 / 991
History coverage48d
Avg bet$86
Trades / day20.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit81%
Chart Positions 0 History 990 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$42
7 days+$28
14 days+$143
30 days−$112
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
BNB Up or Down - May 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
BNB Up or Down - May 28, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
BNB Up or Down - June 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
BNB Up or Down - May 29, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
BNB Up or Down - May 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
BNB Up or Down - June 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
BNB Up or Down - May 27, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
BNB Up or Down - May 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
BNB Up or Down - May 24, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
BNB Up or Down - May 19, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $160 +$3 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $160 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $74 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $160 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $160 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $160 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $160 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $160 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $32 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $160 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $160 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $114 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $160 +$6 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $160 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $58 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $160 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $160 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $74 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 11 $160 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $160 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 11 $118 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $160 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $160 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 10 $160 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 10 $160 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 10 $160 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $160 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 10 $160 +$3 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $39 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $160 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 10 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 10 $160 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 10 $76 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 10 $122 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 10 $160 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 10 $72 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 10 $160 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 10 $160 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 10 $160 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 10 $19 +$1 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 10 $27 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 10 $132 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 10 $160 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 09 $160 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 09 $160 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 09 $160 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 09 $6 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 87% −$134
other 13% +$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $160 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $160 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $74 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $160 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $160 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $160 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $160 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $160 8h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $32 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $160 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $160 11h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $114 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $160 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $160 16h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $58 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $160 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $160 22h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $6 22h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $74 25h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $160 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $160 36h
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $118 38h
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $160 40h
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 41h
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $160 43h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $160 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $160 44h
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $160 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $160 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 227 +0.4% -9.2% 99% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 777 -0.1% -9.6% 99% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 990 +0.0% -9.5% 99% 0% -9.7%
all 990 +0.0% -9.5% 99% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.5% 0% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.1% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $25.79 · official $0.00 · 1928 history records