Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:43:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F1
0xf134…df5b
crypto · 1605 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$2,066 +22%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,071 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized+$2,071
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses757 / 501
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1258 / 1605
History coverage14d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day112.6
Drawdown6%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 1258 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$210
7 days+$1,054
14 days+$2,076
30 days+$2,071
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Down 47¢ 30¢ $4 $3 −$2 (-37%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Down 38¢ 22¢ $4 $2 −$2 (-43%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Down 52¢ 28¢ $4 $2 −$2 (-45%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$5 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$7 +159%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$6 +134%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$8 +173%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$5 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$8 +198%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +83%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$5 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$5 +105%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +76%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$5 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$5 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$5 +114%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$5 +114%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$6 +140%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +86%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$2,066
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $4 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $4 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $4 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $4 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $4 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $4 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $4 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $4 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)+15.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 791 +21.7% +10.1% 59% 59% +11.9%
≤30d 1258 +27.7% +15.5% 60% 60% +16.3%
≤90d 1258 +27.7% +15.5% 60% 60% +16.3%
all 1258 +27.7% +15.5% 60% 60% +16.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover112.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +15.5% 60% +16.3%
10% ← realistic here +4.5% 60% +5.2%
15% -5.6% 60% -5.0%
20% -14.9% 60% -14.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.30 · official $7.41 (match) · 2496 history records