Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:43:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F1
0xf120…3ae6
crypto · 197 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$19 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$20 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized+$20
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses178 / 18
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)196 / 197
History coverage2d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day96.5
Drawdown33%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 196 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$17
7 days+$20
14 days+$20
30 days+$20
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 36¢ 18¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-49%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 91% +$3
sports 9% +$13
other 0% +$2
weather 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $4 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-8.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 196 +1.5% -8.2% 91% 10% -6.5%
≤30d 196 +1.5% -8.2% 91% 10% -6.5%
≤90d 196 +1.5% -8.2% 91% 10% -6.5%
all 196 +1.5% -8.2% 91% 10% -6.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover96.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.2% 10% -6.5%
10% ← realistic here -17.0% 4% -15.4%
15% -25.0% 3% -23.6%
20% -32.4% 3% -31.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.51 · official $0.51 (match) · 409 history records