trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -1.1% | -10.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 25 | -1.1% | -10.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.5% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -19.1% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.9% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -34.1% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series? | Jun 16 | $52 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 16 | $1,399 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market | Jun 16 | $1,396 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Rodrygo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $1,359 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026 | Jun 15 | $41 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Luis Javier Suárez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World C | Jun 15 | $1,336 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Jun 15 | $1,419 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 15 | $1,326 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | Apr 22 | $176 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026? | Apr 18 | $170 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Apr 18 | $169 | $0 | -0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Apr 17 | $12 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series? | Apr 17 | $175 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Apr 16 | $186 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Apr 16 | $173 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | Apr 14 | $7 | −$1 | -23% |
| Will Poland win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | Apr 03 | $160 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026? | Apr 02 | $23 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? | Apr 02 | $26 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election | Mar 29 | $108 | $0 | -0% |
| Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control | Mar 29 | $45 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 29 | $27 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Mar 25 | $173 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Breno Corã win Big Brother Brasil 26? | Mar 25 | $30 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Mar 25 | $25 | $0 | -0% |