trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -41.5% | -47.0% | 43% | 43% | -29.1% |
| ≤30d | 15 | +24.5% | +12.6% | 40% | 40% | -13.0% |
| ≤90d | 23 | +8.2% | -2.1% | 39% | 35% | -18.9% |
| all | 23 | +8.2% | -2.1% | 39% | 35% | -18.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -2.1% | 35% | -18.9% |
| 10% | -11.5% | 22% | -26.6% |
| 15% | -20.0% | 17% | -33.7% |
| 20% | -27.9% | 13% | -40.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Jun 13 | $8 | +$2 | +28% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | Jun 12 | $4 | +$1 | +13% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 12 | $3 | −$1 | -49% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | Jun 11 | $10 | +$2 | +18% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | Jun 08 | $22 | −$14 | -64% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Jun 08 | $39 | −$28 | -71% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | Jun 08 | $8 | +$7 | +81% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Jun 08 | $6 | +$14 | +216% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | Jun 08 | $5 | +$26 | +525% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Jun 03 | $6 | $0 | -3% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | May 22 | $9 | −$2 | -23% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 20 | May 18 | $2 | $0 | -2% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 14 | $11 | −$4 | -35% |
| US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China? | May 10 | $5 | −$4 | -73% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | May 08 | $18 | $0 | -3% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | May 06 | $1 | $0 | -37% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | May 04 | $15 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April? | May 01 | $3 | +$1 | +18% |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026? | Apr 27 | $1 | +$1 | +50% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | Apr 25 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |