Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T07:37:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F0 0xf0fd…8bdd crypto 63 markets active 0h ago coverage 4d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (66 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$87 (-9%) realized −$87 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -14% what you keep after slip
Net edge-14%after slip
Net WR38%break-even
Win rate48%30W / 33L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$16per market
Trades / day65.8pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit90%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 4d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 91% −$88
other 5% −$14
sports 5% −$44
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (66 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)+0.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 63 +11.3% +0.7% 48% 38% -24.0%
≤30d 63 +11.3% +0.7% 48% 38% -24.0%
≤90d 63 +11.3% +0.7% 48% 38% -24.0%
all 63 +11.3% +0.7% 48% 38% -24.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover65.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +0.7% 38% -24.0%
10% ← realistic here -8.9% 30% -31.3%
15% -17.7% 27% -37.9%
20% -25.8% 24% -44.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 18% · top 2 28% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -16% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
20% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +11% · $-wt -16% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -23% → late +44% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
4.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$11 vs −$14 · ×0.75 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.68 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$87
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses30 / 33
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)63 / 63
History coverage4d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day65.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 63 Trades
no open positions (23 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 23 $12 −$11 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 23 $13 −$13 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 23 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 23 $14 +$19 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 23 $7 +$7 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 23 $9 −$8 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 23 $20 −$19 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 23 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 23 $14 +$16 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 23 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 23 $7 +$11 +148%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 23 $13 −$12 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 23 $53 −$50 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 23 $21 +$25 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 23 $8 +$31 +372%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 23 $63 −$60 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 23 $42 −$40 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 23 $6 +$58 +954%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 23 $11 +$29 +276%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 23 $9 +$18 +188%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 23 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 23 $6 +$13 +209%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 23 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 23 $7 −$1 -14%
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? Jun 23 $19 −$19 -98%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? Jun 23 $8 +$11 +134%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? Jun 21 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? Jun 21 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? Jun 21 $2 +$10 +510%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 21 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 21 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 20 $14 −$11 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 20 $17 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 20 $14 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 20 $13 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 20 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 20 $13 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 20 $10 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 20 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +4%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Jun 20 $45 −$44 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 20 $56 −$40 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 20 $20 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 20 $101 +$25 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 20 $42 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 20 $8 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 20 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 19 $12 −$7 -64%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $10 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $13 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $7 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $14 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $14 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $7 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $9 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $20 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $11 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $30 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $14 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $4 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $18 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $7 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $46 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.03 · official $0.03 (match) · 306 history records