Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:33:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F0
0xf0f7…0c5a
sports · 568 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$10,665 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9,961 · open −$704
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$22,227
Realized−$9,961
Unrealized−$704
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses251 / 357
Whale WR (big bets)52%
Est. fees paid−$19,146
Open positions2
Markets (closed)608 / 568
History coverage35d
Avg bet$2,128
Trades / day85.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 608 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$460,191
7 days−$438,102
14 days−$311,516
30 days−$91,226
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Under 49¢ 66¢ $14,477 $19,495 +$5,018 (+35%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Over 46¢ 34¢ $2,400 $1,748 −$652 (-27%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Under 30¢ 28¢ $1,036 $984 −$52 (-5%)
FC Midtjylland vs. Viborg FF: O/U 4.5 Under 45¢ 0¢ $293 $0 −$293 (-100%)
SC Internacional vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5 Over 44¢ 0¢ $929 $0 −$929 (-100%)
SK Brann vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 1.5 Under 42¢ 0¢ $574 $0 −$574 (-100%)
Norway vs. Austria: O/U 2.5 Under 49¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
San Diego FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 1.5 Under 38¢ 0¢ $294 $0 −$294 (-100%)
Real Racing Club vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 2.5 Under 46¢ 0¢ $960 $0 −$960 (-100%)
Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands: O/U 3.5 Under 34¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 2.5 Under 50¢ 0¢ $551 $0 −$551 (-100%)
FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5 Under 43¢ 0¢ $544 $0 −$544 (-100%)
Randers FC vs. Odense BK: O/U 2.5 Under 49¢ 0¢ $911 $0 −$911 (-100%)
Racing Club vs. Caracas FC: O/U 4.5 Over 48¢ 0¢ $345 $0 −$345 (-100%)
Club Always Ready vs. CA Lanús: O/U 1.5 Under 48¢ 0¢ $611 $0 −$611 (-100%)
Nagoya Grampus vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 3.5 Over 37¢ 0¢ $407 $0 −$407 (-100%)
NEOM SC vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 2.5 Under 39¢ 0¢ $634 $0 −$634 (-100%)
Cerezo Ōsaka vs. Nagoya Grampus: O/U 2.5 Under 47¢ 0¢ $671 $0 −$671 (-100%)
Randers FC vs. Odense BK: O/U 3.5 Under 53¢ 0¢ $302 $0 −$302 (-100%)
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 4.5 Over 42¢ 0¢ $531 $0 −$531 (-100%)
Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5 Under 46¢ 0¢ $506 $0 −$506 (-100%)
SC Braga vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 2.5 Over 43¢ 0¢ $453 $0 −$453 (-100%)
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 3.5 Under 40¢ 0¢ $294 $0 −$294 (-100%)
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Vegalta Sendai: O/U 2.5 Over 28¢ 0¢ $308 $0 −$308 (-100%)
Hannover 96 vs. 1. FC Nürnberg: O/U 2.5 Under 46¢ 0¢ $480 $0 −$480 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
FC Midtjylland vs. Viborg FF: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $293 −$293 -100%
SC Internacional vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $929 −$929 -100%
SK Brann vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $574 −$574 -100%
San Diego FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $294 −$294 -100%
FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $551 −$551 -100%
Club Always Ready vs. CA Lanús: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $611 −$611 -100%
SC Braga vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $453 −$453 -100%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $308 −$308 -100%
Calcio Padova vs. Delfino Pescara 1936: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $887 −$887 -100%
AD Ceuta FC vs. CD Castellón: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $521 −$521 -100%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $772 −$772 -100%
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $323 −$323 -100%
AC Nagano Parceiro vs. FC Gifu: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $567 −$567 -100%
SC Paderborn 07 vs. Karlsruher SC: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $719 −$719 -100%
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-05-02? Jun 14 $1,144 −$1,144 -100%
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $526 −$526 -100%
Sparta Rotterdam vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $391 −$391 -100%
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $597 −$597 -100%
Renofa Yamaguchi FC vs. Tegevajaro Miyazaki: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $388 −$388 -100%
Ipswich Town FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $926 −$926 -100%
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $45 −$45 -100%
FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $597 −$597 -100%
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $297 −$297 -100%
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $525 −$525 -100%
FK Mladá Boleslav vs. FC Zlín: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $957 −$957 -100%
Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $378 −$378 -100%
FC UTA Arad vs. FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $615 −$615 -100%
Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $437 −$437 -100%
Vila Nova FC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $683 −$683 -100%
Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $435 −$435 -100%
FC Augsburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $327 −$327 -100%
Cruzeiro EC vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Ceramica Cleopatra Club vs. Pyramids FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $681 −$681 -100%
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $894 −$894 -100%
CA Paranaense vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $37 −$37 -100%
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $852 −$852 -100%
AC Monza vs. Empoli FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $491 −$491 -100%
Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $341 −$341 -100%
Austin FC vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $292 −$292 -100%
FC Porto vs. FC Alverca: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $425 −$425 -100%
Columbus Crew vs. Minnesota United FC: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $505 −$505 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $38,512 +$43,876 +114%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $17,528 +$15,254 +87%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $52,580 −$29,065 -55%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $2,407 −$1,611 -67%
Everton de Viña del Mar vs. CD Palestino: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Hertha BSC vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $676 −$676 -100%
ADC Juan Pablo II College vs. Club Alianza Atlético: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $990 −$990 -100%
Santos FC vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $920 −$920 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$10,939
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 30¢ $260 9m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 30¢ $305 9m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 30¢ $156 9m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 30¢ $29 9m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 30¢ $152 10m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 30¢ $156 10m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 46¢ $2,439 31m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 50¢ $200 45m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 50¢ $2 45m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 50¢ $10 45m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 50¢ $10 45m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 50¢ $50 45m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 50¢ $10 45m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 50¢ $10 45m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 50¢ $10 46m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 50¢ $145 46m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 49¢ $322 46m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 46¢ $284 48m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 46¢ $3,631 49m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 46¢ $1 49m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 46¢ $730 49m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 46¢ $316 49m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 53¢ $6,185 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 50¢ $1,296 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 47¢ $322 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 47¢ $1,085 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 8¢ $281 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 8¢ $605 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 8¢ $290 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 27¢ $638 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-20.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 224 -82.2% -83.9% 8% 8% -68.3%
≤30d 521 -20.1% -27.7% 38% 38% -17.0%
≤90d 608 -12.4% -20.8% 41% 41% -10.3%
all 608 -12.4% -20.8% 41% 41% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover85.4 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.8% 41% -10.3%
10% -28.3% 41% -18.9%
15% ← realistic here -35.3% 41% -26.7%
20% -41.6% 41% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $22,227.00 · official $22,227.34 (match) · 3500 history records