Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:35:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F0
0xf0eb…c5f6
crypto · 276 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$198 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$188 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$127
Realized+$188
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses245 / 26
Open positions5
Markets (closed)271 / 276
History coverage189d
Avg bet$95
Trades / day3.4
Drawdown8%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 5 History 271 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days+$8
14 days+$25
30 days+$54
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $50 $50 +$0 (+0%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 14? No 99¢ 99¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+0%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? No 96¢ 97¢ $16 $16 +$0 (+1%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 14? Yes 100¢ 99¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 6? No 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 27? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 17? No 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 21? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 27? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 1? No 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 2? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? No 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $20 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $20 $0 +0%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? Jun 12 $14 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 12? Jun 12 $300 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $123 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $10 +$1 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $20 $0 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 11? Jun 11 $65 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $65 +$1 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 10? Jun 10 $203 +$3 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $230 +$2 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 10? Jun 10 $20 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 9? Jun 10 $1 $0 +8%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 9? Jun 10 $60 +$1 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 9? Jun 10 $200 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 8? Jun 09 $3 $0 +3%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 8? Jun 09 $255 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 8? Jun 09 $270 +$2 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 8? Jun 08 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 7? Jun 08 $110 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 7? Jun 08 $110 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 6? Jun 06 $20 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 5? Jun 06 $429 +$4 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 5? Jun 05 $10 +$1 +6%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 4? Jun 05 $10 +$1 +8%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 4? Jun 05 $191 +$3 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 4? Jun 05 $229 +$4 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 3? Jun 04 $62 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 2? Jun 02 $25 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 2? Jun 02 $50 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 2? Jun 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1? Jun 02 $50 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 1? Jun 02 $50 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 1? Jun 02 $50 +$1 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 1? Jun 02 $115 +$2 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 31? Jun 01 $250 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 30? May 31 $25 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 30? May 31 $190 +$2 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 28? May 29 $20 $0 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27? May 28 $220 +$2 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 27? May 28 $251 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 27? May 27 $2 −$2 -96%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 26? May 26 $322 +$3 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 26? May 26 $347 +$3 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 25? May 25 $40 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 25? May 25 $105 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 25? May 25 $167 +$3 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 25? May 25 $170 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$189
world 0% +$5
other 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 14? BUY Yes 100¢ $10 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $20 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $20 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $50 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? BUY No 96¢ $16 7h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $10 10h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 100¢ $20 25h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $5 27h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $20 28h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 12? BUY Yes 100¢ $300 41h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $14 41h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? BUY Yes 99¢ $60 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 11? BUY Yes 99¢ $65 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? BUY Yes 99¢ $63 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? BUY No 94¢ $10 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11? BUY Yes 98¢ $20 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10? BUY No 99¢ $180 3d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 10? BUY Yes 99¢ $11 3d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 10? SELL No 98¢ $20 3d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 10? BUY Yes 99¢ $69 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10? BUY No 99¢ $30 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? BUY No 77¢ $1 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10? BUY Yes 98¢ $46 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10? BUY No 99¢ $20 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10? BUY Yes 98¢ $19 3d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 10? BUY No 97¢ $20 3d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 10? BUY Yes 98¢ $60 3d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 10? BUY Yes 99¢ $63 4d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 9? BUY Yes 100¢ $200 5d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 9? BUY No 99¢ $5 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 -7.4% -16.2% 87% 0% -9.2%
≤30d 74 -4.3% -13.4% 91% 0% -8.9%
≤90d 233 -0.3% -9.8% 93% 5% -8.8%
all 271 -2.4% -11.7% 90% 4% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.7% 4% -8.9%
10% -20.1% 2% -17.6%
15% -27.8% 1% -25.6%
20% -34.9% 0% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $126.59 · official $126.59 (match) · 898 history records