trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -35.8% | -41.9% | 12% | 12% | -56.7% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -35.8% | -41.9% | 12% | 12% | -56.7% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -35.8% | -41.9% | 12% | 12% | -56.7% |
| all | 19 | +10.0% | -0.5% | 42% | 42% | +10.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -0.5% | 42% | +10.2% |
| 10% | -10.0% | 42% | -0.4% |
| 15% | -18.7% | 42% | -10.0% |
| 20% | -26.7% | 37% | -18.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 92¢ | 27¢ | $40 | $12 | −$28 (-71%) |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Yes | 25¢ | 24¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Yes | 23¢ | 22¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Yes | 22¢ | 22¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 22¢ | 22¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Yes | 21¢ | 20¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Yes | 18¢ | 18¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Yes | 13¢ | 12¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $5 | +$21 | +414% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Jazz vs. Lakers | Jun 13 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers | Jun 13 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Lakers | Jun 13 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Clippers | Nov 13 | $16 | +$9 | +59% |
| Cavaliers vs. Heat | Nov 13 | $15 | +$30 | +194% |
| Hawks vs. Clippers | Nov 11 | $14 | +$26 | +178% |
| LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) | Nov 11 | $16 | +$10 | +61% |
| 76ers vs. Cavaliers | Nov 06 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Jazz vs. Pistons | Nov 06 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Suns vs. Warriors | Nov 05 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Clippers | Nov 05 | $16 | +$8 | +50% |
| Lakers vs. Trail Blazers | Nov 04 | $20 | +$27 | +133% |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5) | Nov 02 | $15 | +$16 | +108% |
| LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner | Nov 02 | $15 | −$1 | -8% |