Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:37:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F0
0xf0e4…fe5b
crypto · 28 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
−$60 -22%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$60 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$60
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses13 / 14
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)27 / 28
History coverage236d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day0.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit79%
Chart Positions 0 History 27 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$25
7 days−$35
14 days−$34
30 days−$34
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Global Esports 71¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 24? Yes 90¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Stars vs. Canadiens Canadiens 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - November 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $10 −$5 -53%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -99%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $10 −$10 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 4? Jun 04 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 04 $1 +$1 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Mar 17 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Mar 17 $1 −$1 -99%
Valorant: NRG vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winner Mar 04 $23 $0 +2%
Valorant: T1 vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 Winner Mar 03 $5 $0 +8%
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? Jan 25 $10 −$2 -20%
Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)? Jan 25 $5 −$1 -26%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Nov 21 $13 −$13 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 21? Nov 19 $7 +$6 +94%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 20? Nov 17 $1 +$1 +104%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 19? Nov 17 $1 $0 -6%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 17? Nov 17 $4 +$2 +49%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 202 Nov 14 $4 $0 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 202 Nov 14 $22 −$19 -83%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 20 Nov 14 $8 −$6 -71%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 202 Nov 14 $17 −$6 -33%
Stars vs. Canadiens Nov 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Solana dip to $140 before 2026? Nov 13 $21 +$10 +48%
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 Nov 13 $8 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Nov 11 $29 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1PM ET Nov 11 $21 +$8 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Nov 10 $10 +$1 +6%
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on Octobe Oct 20 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 40% +$16
other 30% −$50
sports 20% −$20
world 5% −$3
economics 3% $0
tech 1% −$3
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play SELL EDward Gaming 23¢ $5 1m
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 47¢ $10 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $10 21h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $10 21h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026 BUY 41¢ $10 33h
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou BUY Global Esports 71¢ $10 2d
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 4? SELL No 100¢ $1 9d
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 4? BUY No 98¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $3 87d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 87d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 87d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 88d
Valorant: NRG vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winner SELL NRG 100¢ $24 100d
Valorant: NRG vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winner BUY NRG 98¢ $23 100d
Valorant: T1 vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 Winner SELL T1 67¢ $5 101d
Valorant: T1 vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 Winner BUY T1 62¢ $5 101d
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? SELL Yes 16¢ $8 138d
Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)? SELL Yes 2¢ $4 138d
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? BUY Yes 20¢ $10 142d
Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)? BUY Yes 2¢ $3 142d
Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)? BUY Yes 3¢ $2 142d
Ethereum Up or Down - November 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $7 204d
Ethereum Up or Down - November 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $6 204d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 21? SELL No 64¢ $13 205d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 21? BUY No 33¢ $7 206d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 20? SELL No 45¢ $2 207d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 19? SELL No 9¢ $1 207d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 17? SELL No 3¢ $1 208d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 20? BUY No 22¢ $1 208d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 19? BUY No 9¢ $1 208d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-25.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -84.3% -85.8% 0% 0% -89.2%
≤30d 5 -32.6% -39.0% 40% 20% -83.5%
≤90d 7 -33.8% -40.1% 43% 29% -79.6%
all 27 -18.1% -25.9% 48% 26% -30.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -25.9% 26% -30.5%
10% -33.0% 26% -37.2%
15% -39.5% 22% -43.2%
20% -45.4% 11% -48.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $10.00 · 59 history records