Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:17:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F0
0xf0db…dd5b
sports · 13 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$39 +19%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$45 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$56
Realized+$45
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses3 / 3
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions7
Markets (closed)6 / 13
History coverage14d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day1.7
Drawdown88%
Kalshi-fit69%
Chart Positions 7 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$38
7 days+$27
14 days+$78
30 days+$45
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $10 $11 +$0 (+2%)
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Yes 21¢ 20¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? No 27¢ 18¢ $15 $10 −$5 (-33%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-3%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-2%)
Will Brazil vs. Panama end in a draw? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? No 39¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Spurs 46¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $2 +$38 +1843%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 10 $11 −$11 -98%
Will Brazil vs. Panama end in a draw? May 31 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? May 31 $26 +$58 +226%
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $53 +$5 +10%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $39 −$39 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 87% +$40
other 13% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 18¢ $5 35m
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $40 39m
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $11 1h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 5¢ $2 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $9 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $11 1h
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $8 1h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 35¢ $10 2d
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $4 2d
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $5 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 46¢ $11 2d
Will Brazil vs. Panama end in a draw? BUY Yes 7¢ $4 12d
Will Brazil vs. Panama end in a draw? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 12d
Will Brazil vs. Panama end in a draw? BUY Yes 7¢ $2 12d
Will Brazil vs. Panama end in a draw? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 12d
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? BUY Yes 43¢ $22 14d
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? BUY No 39¢ $39 14d
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? SELL Yes 73¢ $46 14d
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? SELL Yes 73¢ $2 14d
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? SELL Yes 73¢ $2 14d
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? SELL Yes 73¢ $8 14d
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? BUY Yes 39¢ $20 14d
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? BUY Yes 40¢ $12 14d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $26 14d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+261.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +871.3% +778.8% 50% 50% +186.1%
≤30d 6 +299.0% +261.0% 50% 50% +28.6%
≤90d 6 +299.0% +261.0% 50% 50% +28.6%
all 6 +299.0% +261.0% 50% 50% +28.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +261.0% 50% +28.6%
10% +226.5% 50% +16.3%
15% +194.9% 33% +5.1%
20% +166.0% 33% -5.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $56.49 · official $56.49 (match) · 25 history records