Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:19:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F0
0xf0ce…bf26
crypto · 219 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$110 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$92 · open −$18
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$34
Realized−$92
Unrealized−$18
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses106 / 110
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)216 / 219
History coverage5d
Avg bet$51
Trades / day708.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 216 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$214
7 days−$92
14 days−$92
30 days−$92
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 57¢ 38¢ $51 $34 −$18 (-34%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$16 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $56 −$56 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $61 −$61 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$12 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$41 +213%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $101 +$192 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$18 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $46 +$44 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$44 +211%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $22 +$13 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $122 +$63 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $118 −$88 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $55 +$120 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $79 −$79 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $123 −$58 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $133 −$18 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $84 −$84 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $123 −$123 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $102 −$102 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$15 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $120 −$120 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $121 +$99 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $120 +$72 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $114 −$114 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $64 +$57 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$12 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $105 +$96 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $119 +$18 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $120 +$98 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $23 +$17 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $92 −$92 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $124 −$124 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $106 +$55 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $44 −$44 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$128
tech 1% +$19
other 0% $0
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $9 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $9 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $9 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $9 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $9 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $9 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $7 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $7 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $0 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $0 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $0 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $7 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $7 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $7 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $0 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $7 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $7 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $7 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $7 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $7 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $4 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $4 49m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 216 -0.1% -9.6% 49% 46% -10.3%
≤30d 216 -0.1% -9.6% 49% 46% -10.3%
≤90d 216 -0.1% -9.6% 49% 46% -10.3%
all 216 -0.1% -9.6% 49% 46% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover708.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 46% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 43% -18.9%
15% -26.2% 41% -26.7%
20% -33.4% 38% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $33.80 · official $38.31 · 3500 history records