Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:26:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F0
0xf0cd…6d22
sports · 354 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$10 · open −$26
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$209
Realized+$10
Unrealized−$26
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses206 / 144
Est. fees paid−$76
Open positions4
Markets (closed)350 / 354
History coverage563d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day1.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit78%
Chart Positions 4 History 350 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$122
7 days+$211
14 days+$249
30 days+$249
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Karmine Corp Blue 73¢ 100¢ $73 $100 +$27 (+37%)
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Karmine Corp Blue 73¢ 73¢ $73 $73 +$0 (+0%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 50¢ 36¢ $50 $36 −$14 (-28%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Spirit 39¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Cloud9 56¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic - Map 1 Winner Heroic 41¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs paiN Gaming 35¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Movistar KOI 25¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 28¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Natus Vincere 35¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Astralis 63¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Bucks Spurs 40¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Monte 25¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Natus Vincere 83¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner T1 70¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $69 −$10 -14%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 12 $80 +$20 +25%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $215 +$9 +4%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $80 −$62 -78%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $178 +$46 +26%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $91 +$5 +5%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $62 +$13 +21%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $66 +$22 +34%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla Jun 12 $67 +$15 +22%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $120 −$6 -5%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $156 +$29 +19%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $116 +$34 +30%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $15 −$15 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $68 +$12 +18%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $191 +$8 +4%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $162 −$14 -9%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $58 +$49 +84%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $144 −$6 -4%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $122 −$70 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $16 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $23 −$8 -34%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $20 −$6 -28%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Jun 11 $42 −$41 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $125 +$27 +21%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $18 −$18 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $52 +$27 +53%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 11 $34 −$16 -46%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $47 +$10 +21%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $32 +$3 +9%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $36 +$14 +40%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $9 +$6 +64%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $27 +$6 +23%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATA Jun 11 $40 +$10 +26%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $23 +$27 +119%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $36 +$6 +16%
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - The International Europe Op Jun 10 $21 +$9 +43%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $21 −$3 -16%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $6 +$5 +81%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $22 +$9 +40%
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-In Jun 09 $32 +$4 +14%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $33 +$9 +28%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $20 +$14 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 09 $19 +$1 +4%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $46 −$6 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 09 $11 −$5 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 09 $15 −$13 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 09 $16 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 09 $11 +$10 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 09 $7 −$6 -89%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 09 $61 −$16 -27%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 83% +$149
other 14% −$138
crypto 2% −$27
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 50¢ $44 5m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 51¢ $6 5m
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 73¢ $73 10m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 73¢ $73 15m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 70¢ $70 23m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL Vitality 40¢ $59 59m
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 73¢ $74 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 45¢ $69 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 39¢ $40 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Spirit 51¢ $50 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 37¢ $38 1h
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C SELL G2 NORD 100¢ $100 1h
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY G2 NORD 80¢ $38 1h
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY G2 NORD 80¢ $26 1h
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY G2 NORD 80¢ $17 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 100¢ $150 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 28¢ $29 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 88¢ $23 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 88¢ $7 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 88¢ $89 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 88¢ $13 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner SELL Team Falcons 17¢ $16 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 51¢ $52 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 75¢ $58 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 75¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 75¢ $11 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 75¢ $4 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 83¢ $83 2h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Natus Vincere 96¢ $96 3h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 91¢ $91 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-12.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 104 +0.5% -9.1% 62% 53% -3.8%
≤30d 121 +1.4% -8.2% 62% 54% -3.4%
≤90d 121 +1.4% -8.2% 62% 54% -3.4%
all 350 -2.8% -12.1% 59% 47% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.1% 47% -9.0%
10% -20.5% 33% -17.7%
15% -28.2% 21% -25.7%
20% -35.2% 13% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $208.90 · official $208.90 (match) · 1178 history records