trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on | Jun 02 | $215 | +$62 | +29% |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap | Jun 01 | $5,399 | −$5,354 | -99% |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on | May 30 | $13,501 | −$13,359 | -99% |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap | May 29 | $7,317 | −$6,923 | -95% |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on | May 29 | $1,826 | −$1,528 | -84% |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap o | May 29 | $83 | −$82 | -99% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May | May 29 | $2,258 | +$36 | +2% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 3 | May 29 | $26,099 | −$7,562 | -29% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings? | May 20 | $61 | −$61 | -100% |
| Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026? | May 16 | $4 | −$4 | -98% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31 | May 06 | $55 | −$261 | -470% |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap | May 03 | $1,968 | +$1,178 | +60% |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap | May 03 | $1,055 | −$727 | -69% |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on | Apr 30 | $1,524 | +$2,843 | +186% |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on | Apr 30 | $2,956 | +$32 | +1% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? | Apr 30 | $3 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April | Apr 10 | $18 | +$1,265 | +7207% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 10 | -69.6% | -72.5% | 20% | 10% | -64.9% |
| ≤90d | 17 | +75.5% | +58.7% | 35% | 24% | -53.1% |
| all | 17 | +75.5% | +58.7% | 35% | 24% | -53.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +58.7% | 24% | -53.1% |
| 10% | +43.6% | 24% | -57.6% |
| 15% ← realistic here | +29.7% | 18% | -61.7% |
| 20% | +17.0% | 18% | -65.5% |