Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:51:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F0
0xf0c2…7efa
sports · 1231 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$60 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$74 · open −$14
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$173
Realized+$74
Unrealized−$14
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses481 / 675
Est. fees paid−$66
Open positions40
Markets (closed)1156 / 1231
History coverage59d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day35.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 40 History 1156 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$57
7 days−$19
14 days+$100
30 days+$103
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy - Map 1 Winner RUSTEC 55¢ 56¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 43¢ 42¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) MOUZ 56¢ 55¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-2%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner FURIA 55¢ 55¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) MOUZ 53¢ 52¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-3%)
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5) B8 52¢ 52¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5) TheMongolz 59¢ 60¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 32¢ 34¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+5%)
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5) Spirit 59¢ 58¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5) TheMongolz 52¢ 48¢ $6 $5 −$0 (-8%)
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner RUSTEC 54¢ 57¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+6%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 31¢ 30¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-5%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 B8 27¢ 28¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner B8 31¢ 30¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) B8 56¢ 55¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage RUSTEC 59¢ 57¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13? No 59¢ 58¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner MOUZ 37¢ 34¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-7%)
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m? No 60¢ 69¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+15%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Under 42¢ 42¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Team Falcons 51¢ 50¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-3%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 23¢ 22¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-7%)
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Hurricanes 53¢ 52¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? No 7¢ 6¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-7%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 57¢ 56¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $3 +$1 +18%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $3 +$2 +70%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$6 +109%
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026? Jun 13 $8 −$7 -84%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -96%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $6 −$5 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$10 +187%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
United States to score first vs. Paraguay? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ Jun 12 $3 +$2 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +74%
Canada to score first vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $3 +$4 +126%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $4 +$9 +206%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 12 $4 +$9 +223%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $5 +$9 +175%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $4 +$7 +154%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $4 +$17 +436%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -96%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 12 $4 −$2 -50%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $5 +$10 +194%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $4 +$7 +177%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5) Jun 12 $4 +$4 +88%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 12 $5 +$7 +126%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -95%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 12 $4 +$3 +62%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 12 $4 +$4 +88%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $5 +$5 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -95%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $4 −$3 -74%
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +78%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election Jun 12 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -96%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $3 +$2 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 $0 -7%
Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs INOX Division (+1.5) Jun 12 $4 −$1 -16%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 12 $3 $0 -2%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $4 +$3 +89%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5) Jun 12 $4 +$6 +172%
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 12 $3 +$2 +71%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 12? Jun 12 $3 $0 -14%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 12? Jun 12 $6 +$1 +23%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 +$2 +38%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 60% −$48
crypto 22% +$52
other 9% −$32
weather 3% +$21
politics 3% +$17
world 1% +$39
finance 1% +$15
tech 0% −$3
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs BetBoom Team (+3.5) BUY FURIA 37¢ $3 19m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 SELL Under 64¢ $4 34m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 9.5 Total Corners SELL Under 100¢ $5 39m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $11 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 13? BUY No 49¢ $3 1h
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5) BUY B8 52¢ $3 1h
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5) BUY B8 52¢ $3 1h
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026? SELL No 7¢ $1 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 1h
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) BUY MOUZ 49¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 42¢ $3 2h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) BUY MOUZ 53¢ $3 2h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 55¢ $4 2h
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5) BUY Team Falcons 48¢ $4 2h
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) BUY MOUZ 56¢ $4 2h
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5) BUY Team Falcons 54¢ $4 2h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 43¢ $4 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 57¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $4 2h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 SELL Over 11¢ $1 2h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) BUY MOUZ 53¢ $4 2h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 55¢ $4 2h
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy - Map 1 Winner BUY RUSTEC 56¢ $4 2h
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) BUY MOUZ 56¢ $4 2h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 43¢ $4 2h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) BUY Team Falcons 51¢ $4 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 42¢ $4 2h
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026? SELL No 6¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 23¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-8.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 317 -0.6% -10.1% 44% 43% -10.0%
≤30d 1103 +2.3% -7.5% 42% 40% -7.4%
≤90d 1156 +1.4% -8.3% 42% 39% -8.0%
all 1156 +1.4% -8.3% 42% 39% -8.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover35.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.3% 39% -8.0%
10% ← realistic here -17.1% 37% -16.8%
15% -25.1% 33% -24.9%
20% -32.4% 28% -32.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $172.76 · official $172.77 (match) · 2265 history records