trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -1.3% | -10.7% | 38% | 0% | -12.4% |
| ≤30d | 17 | -1.4% | -10.8% | 18% | 0% | -11.3% |
| ≤90d | 17 | -1.4% | -10.8% | 18% | 0% | -11.3% |
| all | 28 | +0.6% | -9.0% | 36% | 4% | -11.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.0% | 4% | -11.5% |
| 10% | -17.7% | 4% | -20.0% |
| 15% | -25.6% | 4% | -27.7% |
| 20% | -32.9% | 0% | -34.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 94¢ | 94¢ | $34 | $34 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 17 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $5 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 15 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 14 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 13 | $35 | −$1 | -2% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 13 | $5 | $0 | +3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 13 | $34 | $0 | +1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 12 | $83 | −$7 | -8% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Jun 09 | $5 | $0 | -5% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 09 | $47 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 07 | $42 | −$1 | -3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 07 | $29 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 06 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 05 | $2 | $0 | -5% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Jun 05 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 05 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 03 | $42 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 11 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will SOCDEM win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary electio | Jul 22 | $0 | $0 | +50% |
| Will the Texas Rangers win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 27 | $13 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Elon tweet 300–324 times May 23–30? | Jun 01 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope? | May 11 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 18 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Apr 15 | $12 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will another coalition form the next German Government? | Mar 31 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| March Madness: Will 0 teams seeded #1 make the Final 4? | Mar 26 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025? | Mar 24 | $17 | −$3 | -17% |
| Raptors vs. Magic | Mar 03 | $18 | −$1 | -7% |