trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Yes | 57¢ | 56¢ | $30 | $29 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | Yes | 60¢ | 62¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+4%) |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 47¢ | 48¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 19¢ | 19¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 48¢ | 46¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Team Falcons | 25¢ | 0¢ | $20 | $0 | −$20 (-100%) |
| Rainbow Six Siege: Cloud9 vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - North America League Stage 1 Group Stage | 100 Thieves | 2¢ | 0¢ | $20 | $0 | −$20 (-100%) |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 | Over | 43¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow Six Siege: DarkZero Esports vs Five Fears (BO1) - North Americ | Jun 12 | $33 | −$17 | -52% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $14 | −$1 | -6% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $26 | −$23 | -86% |
| Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score | Jun 12 | $5 | $0 | -10% |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $21 | −$4 | -18% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $21 | −$1 | -6% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$1 | -8% |
| Rainbow Six Siege: Cloud9 vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - North America League | Jun 12 | $26 | −$14 | -53% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 12 | $10 | −$1 | -6% |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major | Jun 12 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score | Jun 12 | $10 | +$9 | +93% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $20 | +$9 | +44% |
| Rainbow Six Siege: Five Fears vs Shopify Rebellion (BO1) - North Ameri | Jun 11 | $10 | +$7 | +71% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 | Jun 11 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Rainbow Six Siege: M80 vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - North America League Sta | Jun 11 | $10 | +$3 | +33% |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Jun 11 | $25 | +$8 | +30% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $21 | +$17 | +79% |
| Rainbow Six Siege: Wildcard Gaming vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - North Americ | Jun 10 | $20 | +$9 | +46% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 18 | -3.6% | -12.8% | 39% | 39% | -17.8% |
| ≤30d | 18 | -3.6% | -12.8% | 39% | 39% | -17.8% |
| ≤90d | 18 | -3.6% | -12.8% | 39% | 39% | -17.8% |
| all | 18 | -3.6% | -12.8% | 39% | 39% | -17.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -12.8% | 39% | -17.8% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -21.1% | 39% | -25.7% |
| 15% | -28.7% | 28% | -32.9% |
| 20% | -35.7% | 17% | -39.4% |