Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:47:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F0
0xf0b6…7271
crypto · 954 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$362 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$362 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$362
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses407 / 546
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)953 / 954
History coverage12d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day202.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 953 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$191
14 days−$362
30 days−$362
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-98%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +204%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$4 +351%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$3 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$6 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$361
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 21¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Down 34¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 77¢ $7 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $7 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET SELL Down 21¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 74¢ $4 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $3 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Down 42¢ $3 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-14.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 401 +1.5% -8.1% 41% 35% -18.4%
≤30d 953 -5.3% -14.3% 43% 38% -19.8%
≤90d 953 -5.3% -14.3% 43% 38% -19.8%
all 953 -5.3% -14.3% 43% 38% -19.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover202.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.3% 38% -19.8%
10% ← realistic here -22.5% 31% -27.5%
15% -30.0% 25% -34.5%
20% -36.9% 20% -40.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2607 history records