Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:00:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F0
0xf0b5…bd15
sports · 129 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,921 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,872 · open −$49
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$2,872
Unrealized−$49
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses49 / 79
Whale WR (big bets)78%
Est. fees paid−$66
Open positions1
Markets (closed)128 / 129
History coverage129d
Avg bet$146
Trades / day1.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 1 History 128 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$45
7 days+$45
14 days+$45
30 days+$45
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $50 $1 −$49 (-97%)
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies Grizzlies 22¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlins Miami Marlins 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Magic vs. Pistons Magic 17¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1 M80 23¢ 0¢ $365 $0 −$365 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs Johnny Speeds 11¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
BNP Paribas Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs James Duckworth James Duckworth 12¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winner ARCRED 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Trump say "Hell" during signing time? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Mavericks vs. Hornets Mavericks 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Hawks vs. Knicks Hawks 32¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez Leylah Fernandez 65¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Mavericks vs. Celtics Mavericks 8¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Beşiktaş JK vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Suns vs. Bulls Bulls 16¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Karine Silva vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) Karine Silva 28¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during signing time? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" during signing time? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Nemiga (BO3) - IZI WEX Playoffs Nemiga 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Nets vs. Heat Nets 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Valorant: MIBR vs NRG (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffs MIBR 77¢ 0¢ $106 $0 −$106 (-100%)
Jazz vs. 76ers Jazz 26¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Lightning vs. Jets Lightning 5¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Raptors vs. Celtics Raptors 20¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $102 −$7 -7%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $101 +$53 +52%
Magic vs. Pistons Apr 30 $20 −$20 -98%
76ers vs. Celtics Apr 29 $10 +$18 +176%
Madrid Open, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Apr 21 $1 +$4 +440%
Suns vs. Thunder Apr 19 $15 −$15 -97%
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-04-19? Apr 19 $2,600 −$2,600 -100%
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-04-18? Apr 19 $1,830 +$782 +43%
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angels Apr 19 $1,705 +$67 +4%
Rockets vs. Lakers Apr 19 $970 +$796 +82%
Hawks vs. Knicks Apr 19 $1,000 −$36 -4%
UFC Fight Night: Jamie Siraj vs. John Yannis (Bantamweight, Prelims) Apr 19 $10 +$22 +216%
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Apr 18 $500 +$350 +70%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlins Apr 18 $1 −$1 -97%
Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twins Apr 18 $15 −$15 -98%
Warriors vs. Suns Apr 18 $30 −$29 -98%
Hornets vs. Magic Apr 18 $14 +$16 +118%
UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Marcio Barbosa (Featherweight, Pre Apr 17 $10 $0 -2%
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez Apr 17 $505 −$500 -99%
UFC Fight Night: Karine Silva vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius (Women's Flywei Apr 17 $10 −$10 -98%
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Iga Swiatek vs Mirra Andreeva Apr 17 $671 −$667 -99%
Raptors vs. Celtics Apr 05 $101 −$99 -98%
Suns vs. Bulls Apr 05 $10 −$10 -98%
Jazz vs. Thunder Apr 05 $50 −$49 -97%
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-05? Apr 05 $7 −$7 -98%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest G Apr 05 $250 −$244 -98%
76ers vs. Hawks Mar 07 $254 −$254 -100%
Magic vs. Timberwolves Mar 07 $170 +$113 +66%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 Mar 07 $51 −$1 -2%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Mar 07 $50 −$4 -7%
Will Juventus FC vs. Pisa SC end in a draw? Mar 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Will SC Braga vs. Sporting CP end in a draw? Mar 07 $1 +$16 +1564%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07? Mar 07 $0 $0 -100%
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-07? Mar 07 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-07? Mar 07 $150 +$18 +12%
Will Beşiktaş JK vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw? Mar 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Pelicans vs. Suns Mar 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Mavericks vs. Celtics Mar 07 $178 −$172 -97%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 Mar 06 $369 −$369 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 Mar 06 $3 −$3 -100%
Lakers vs. Nuggets Mar 06 $164 +$31 +19%
Bulls vs. Suns Mar 06 $100 +$108 +108%
Lightning vs. Jets Mar 06 $10 −$10 -100%
Warriors vs. Rockets Mar 06 $107 +$133 +125%
Jazz vs. Wizards Mar 06 $15 +$10 +64%
Nets vs. Heat Mar 06 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Cloud9 vs RED Canids (BO5) - Americas Cup Playoffs Mar 06 $1 +$14 +1445%
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Nemiga (BO3) - IZI WEX Playoffs Mar 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Drake Bulldogs vs. Southern Illinois Salukis Mar 05 $2 +$4 +211%
BNP Paribas Open: Diane Parry vs Venus Williams Mar 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 62% −$1,423
other 35% −$1,439
world 2% +$26
crypto 1% −$57
politics 0% −$21
culture 0% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays SELL New York Yankees 46¢ $94 14m
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 48¢ $102 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 5¢ $51 2h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 88¢ $154 24h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 57¢ $101 25h
Magic vs. Pistons BUY Magic 17¢ $20 44d
76ers vs. Celtics BUY 76ers 21¢ $5 45d
76ers vs. Celtics SELL 76ers 19¢ $4 45d
76ers vs. Celtics BUY 76ers 21¢ $5 45d
Madrid Open, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Nikoloz Basilashvili SELL Nikoloz Basilashvili 100¢ $5 53d
Madrid Open, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Nikoloz Basilashvili BUY Nikoloz Basilashvili 18¢ $1 53d
Suns vs. Thunder BUY Suns 10¢ $15 55d
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-04-19? BUY No 73¢ $2,600 55d
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-04-18? SELL No 100¢ $2,612 55d
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-04-18? BUY No 70¢ $1,830 55d
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angels SELL Los Angeles Angels 4¢ $0 55d
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angels SELL San Diego Padres 95¢ $1,772 55d
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY San Diego Padres 91¢ $1,700 55d
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY San Diego Padres 58¢ $1 55d
Rockets vs. Lakers SELL Lakers 100¢ $1,766 55d
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 45¢ $4 55d
Rockets vs. Lakers BUY Lakers 54¢ $970 55d
Hawks vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 100¢ $888 55d
Hawks vs. Knicks SELL Hawks 18¢ $55 55d
Hawks vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 84¢ $750 55d
Hawks vs. Knicks BUY Hawks 32¢ $100 55d
Hawks vs. Knicks SELL Hawks 31¢ $154 55d
Hawks vs. Knicks BUY Hawks 25¢ $50 55d
Hawks vs. Knicks BUY Hawks 33¢ $100 55d
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets SELL Nuggets 100¢ $850 55d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-7.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +22.3% +10.7% 50% 50% +10.7%
≤30d 2 +22.3% +10.7% 50% 50% +10.7%
≤90d 26 -11.9% -20.3% 35% 31% -30.1%
all 128 +2.5% -7.2% 38% 34% -24.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.2% 34% -24.0%
10% -16.1% 25% -31.3%
15% -24.2% 23% -37.9%
20% -31.6% 19% -44.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.39 · official $1.39 (match) · 272 history records