Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T08:14:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F0 0xf0b2…1184 crypto 90 markets active 18h ago coverage 5d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$9 (-2%) realized −$9 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR24%break-even
Win rate69%62W / 28L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day39.0pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 5d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$29
sports 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-16.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 90 -7.7% -16.4% 69% 24% -15.4%
≤30d 90 -7.7% -16.4% 69% 24% -15.4%
≤90d 90 -7.7% -16.4% 69% 24% -15.4%
all 90 -7.7% -16.4% 69% 24% -15.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover39.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.4% 24% -15.4%
10% ← realistic here -24.4% 6% -23.5%
15% -31.7% 0% -30.9%
20% -38.4% 0% -37.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 13% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
61% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -11% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.22 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.49 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses62 / 28
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)90 / 90
History coverage5d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day39.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 90 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$5 -45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$3 -25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$4 -78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 14 $3 +$1 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$4 -37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -51%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -49%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$4 -86%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +13%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$3 -50%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$2 +34%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -93%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$1 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 10 $15 +$1 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$1 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +20%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$3 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $15 −$1 -6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $7 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $0 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 81¢ $5 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 88¢ $6 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 22¢ $2 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $1 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 83¢ $6 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 85¢ $5 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $7 25h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 25h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $6 25h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 25h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $5 25h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 25h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $5 42h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 42h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 42h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Down 80¢ $11 42h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $10 42h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $6 43h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $10 43h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 25¢ $2 43h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 210 history records