Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:58:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F0
0xf0aa…f7e3
crypto · 1739 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$404 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$401 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$25
Realized+$401
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses1184 / 546
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1730 / 1739
History coverage8d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day268.9
Drawdown60%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 1 History 1730 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$172
7 days+$260
14 days+$401
30 days+$401
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 73¢ 100¢ $6 $8 +$2 (+36%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Down 41¢ 100¢ $3 $7 +$4 (+144%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Up 81¢ 100¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+23%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 0¢ 90¢ $0 $3 +$3 (+0%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 56¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+79%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Down 70¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+43%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1AM ET Up 63¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+58%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 49¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+104%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 60¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+67%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 67¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+49%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+96%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 68¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+47%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 79¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+27%)
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 13¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+669%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 56¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+78%)
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on May 23? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 23? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 15? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on May 9? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 16? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +99%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$3 +1099%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -696%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$2 +1156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +148%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$2 +1776%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +213%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$2 -1420%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$2 +8554%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$2 +2991%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on May 23? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 23? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 15? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on May 9? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 16? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on May 16? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 21? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 26? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on May 18? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 24? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -146%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on Ma Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 20? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 22? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 25? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on May 14? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 9? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on May 16? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on May 21? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on May 26? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 9? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C or below on May 9? Jun 12 $0 −$1 -11260%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on May 17? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 23? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on May 26? Jun 12 $0 −$1 -171%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 26? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 61°F or below on May 22 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on May 23? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on May 21? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% +$944
other 5% +$42
weather 1% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $3 14m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $3 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $3 24m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $3 25m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $3 25m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $3 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $3 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $3 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $3 44m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $3 44m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $3 44m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 44m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $3 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $3 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $3 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $3 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $3 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $6 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $6 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +64%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1441 -4.1% -13.2% 64% 63% -4.4%
≤30d 1730 -1.3% -10.7% 68% 64% -3.3%
≤90d 1730 -1.3% -10.7% 68% 64% -3.3%
all 1730 -1.3% -10.7% 68% 64% -3.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover268.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.7% 64% -3.3%
10% ← realistic here -19.2% 40% -12.5%
15% -27.0% 17% -21.0%
20% -34.2% 8% -28.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $25.28 · official $21.15 · 3500 history records