trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 27¢ | 26¢ | $40 | $39 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 51¢ | 50¢ | $39 | $39 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 58¢ | 0¢ | $57 | $0 | −$57 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $80 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $59 | +$31 | +53% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $20 | +$27 | +131% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $79 | +$10 | +12% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $116 | +$24 | +21% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 12 | $29 | −$2 | -6% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $10 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 12 | $9 | −$1 | -7% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | +25.0% | +13.1% | 62% | 50% | +10.5% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +25.0% | +13.1% | 62% | 50% | +10.5% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +25.0% | +13.1% | 62% | 50% | +10.5% |
| all | 8 | +25.0% | +13.1% | 62% | 50% | +10.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +13.1% | 50% | +10.5% |
| 10% | +2.3% | 25% | -0.1% |
| 15% | -7.6% | 25% | -9.7% |
| 20% | -16.7% | 25% | -18.6% |