trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | -27.2% | -34.1% | 40% | 30% | -21.5% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -27.2% | -34.1% | 40% | 30% | -21.5% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -27.2% | -34.1% | 40% | 30% | -21.5% |
| all | 10 | -27.2% | -34.1% | 40% | 30% | -21.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -34.1% | 30% | -21.5% |
| 10% | -40.4% | 30% | -29.0% |
| 15% | -46.2% | 30% | -35.8% |
| 20% | -51.5% | 20% | -42.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 63¢ | 64¢ | $333 | $338 | +$5 (+1%) |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 52¢ | 52¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $20 | +$7 | +36% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $20 | +$15 | +76% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $20 | −$18 | -91% |
| Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw? | Jun 25 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $354 | −$29 | -8% |
| Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $95 | +$59 | +62% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $218 | −$123 | -56% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $181 | +$17 | +10% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $24 | −$24 | -99% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $22 | −$21 | -98% |