Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:31:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F0
0xf087…962d
crypto · 45 markets active 2d ago
0.0score
−$803 -27%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$765 · open −$38
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$992
Realized−$765
Unrealized−$38
Win rate (resolved)18%
Wins / losses8 / 36
Open positions1
Markets (closed)44 / 45
Avg bet$66
Trades / day6.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 44 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days−$58
30 days−$765
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? No 1¢ 1¢ $1,030 $992 −$38 (-4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4? Up 3¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $145 $0 −$145 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $85 $0 −$85 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $199 $0 −$199 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4? Jun 04 $15 −$14 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 02 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 02 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET May 28 $207 −$199 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET May 28 $205 −$145 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET May 28 $90 −$85 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET May 28 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET May 28 $74 −$70 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET May 28 $27 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET May 28 $91 −$49 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET May 28 $100 −$35 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET May 28 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET May 28 $42 −$18 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET May 27 $53 −$50 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET May 27 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET May 26 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET May 26 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET May 26 $40 −$39 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET May 26 $58 −$55 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET May 26 $16 −$15 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET May 26 $116 +$169 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET May 26 $34 +$82 +244%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET May 26 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET May 25 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET May 25 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET May 25 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET May 25 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET May 23 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET May 23 $37 −$35 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET May 23 $42 −$40 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET May 23 $36 +$46 +125%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET May 23 $9 +$27 +288%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET May 23 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET May 23 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET May 23 $12 −$11 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET May 23 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET May 23 $74 −$74 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET May 22 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET May 22 $121 −$115 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET May 22 $16 −$15 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET May 22 $79 +$146 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET May 22 $57 +$27 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET May 22 $21 +$26 +123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET May 22 $28 +$6 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 64% −$765
economics 36% −$38
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet BUY No 1¢ $9 38h
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet BUY No 1¢ $707 38h
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet BUY No 1¢ $60 47h
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet BUY No 1¢ $202 47h
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet BUY No 1¢ $1 5d
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet BUY No 1¢ $101 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4? BUY Up 3¢ $15 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $2 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $27 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $11 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $4 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $25 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $26 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $26 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $26 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $26 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $26 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $26 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $26 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $11 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $11 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $26 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $26 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $26 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $26 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $26 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 87¢ $85 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $26 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $26 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $11 14d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-58.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 44 -53.6% -58.0% 18% 18% -50.2%
≤90d 44 -53.6% -58.0% 18% 18% -50.2%
all 44 -53.6% -58.0% 18% 18% -50.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -58.0% 18% -50.2%
10% -62.0% 16% -55.0%
15% -65.7% 16% -59.4%
20% -69.1% 14% -63.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $992.00 · official $992.00 (match) · 131 history records