Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:44:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F0
0xf07d…ddd3
crypto · 26 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$23 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$27 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$27
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses16 / 9
Open positions1
Markets (closed)25 / 26
History coverage1d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day101.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 1 History 25 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$27
7 days−$27
14 days−$27
30 days−$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 19¢ 48¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+145%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$6 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$16 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$4 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +26%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $16 −$6 -34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 91% −$18
other 9% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Down 42¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $11 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Up 22¢ $0 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Up 11¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Up 16¢ $0 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 26m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-12.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 -3.1% -12.3% 64% 40% -23.9%
≤30d 25 -3.1% -12.3% 64% 40% -23.9%
≤90d 25 -3.1% -12.3% 64% 40% -23.9%
all 25 -3.1% -12.3% 64% 40% -23.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover101.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.3% 40% -23.9%
10% ← realistic here -20.7% 24% -31.2%
15% -28.4% 8% -37.8%
20% -35.4% 4% -43.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.91 · official $4.29 (match) · 132 history records