Wallet analysis

2026-06-21T10:21:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F0 0xf07c…a9b8 crypto 29 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ bot/MM pace (112 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1,466 (-14%) realized −$1,466 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -26% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -43% what you keep after slip
Net edge-43%after slip
Net WR24%break-even
Win rate24%7W / 22L
Whale WR50%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$357per market
Trades / day112.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,246
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (112 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-33.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 -26.5% -33.5% 24% 24% -21.2%
≤30d 29 -26.5% -33.5% 24% 24% -21.2%
≤90d 29 -26.5% -33.5% 24% 24% -21.2%
all 29 -26.5% -33.5% 24% 24% -21.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover112.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -33.5% 24% -21.2%
10% ← realistic here -39.9% 24% -28.8%
15% -45.7% 24% -35.7%
20% -51.0% 21% -42.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 29% · top 2 54% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -14% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -27% · $-wt -14% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 50% (≥$524) neutral
Persistence
early -36% → late -18% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$668 vs −$269 · ×2.48 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.79 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,466
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)24%
Wins / losses7 / 22
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)29 / 29
History coverage1d
Avg bet$357
Trades / day112.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 29 Trades
no open positions (20 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 21 $524 +$1,142 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 21 $210 −$200 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 21 $106 −$96 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 21 $157 −$150 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 21 $53 −$50 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 21 $942 +$1,362 +145%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 21 $369 −$350 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 21 $367 −$350 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 21 $210 −$169 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 21 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 21 $52 +$25 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 21 $158 +$546 +345%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 21 $717 −$186 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 21 $495 −$25 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 21 $159 −$150 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 21 $184 −$184 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 21 $559 +$397 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 21 $156 −$150 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 21 $67 +$79 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 21 $677 −$677 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 21 $525 +$1,127 +215%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 21 $315 −$300 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 21 $1,123 −$1,076 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 21 $835 −$800 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 21 $316 −$300 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 21 $472 −$150 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 21 $277 −$263 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 21 $184 −$175 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 21 $104 −$100 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1,667 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $105 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $105 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $105 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $104 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $104 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $105 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $105 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Down 14¢ $4 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $8 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $98 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $105 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $52 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $26 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $26 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Up 62¢ $654 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $158 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $158 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $157 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $157 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $156 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $156 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $53 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $158 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $158 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $53 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $157 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $157 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Down 10¢ $29 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $52 50m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 120 history records