Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:48:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F0 0xf070…0f8f sports 143 markets active 6d ago coverage 12d
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (67 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$1,470 (-2%) realized −$1,470 · open +$0
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR39%break-even
Win rate68%97W / 46L
Whale WR58%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$550per market
Trades / day66.6pace
Fees−$717est.
Kalshi-fit96%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$5,525
14 days−$3,137
30 days−$1,570
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 83% −$2,304
world 11% +$742
finance 3% −$7
crypto 2% −$23
other 1% +$22
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (67 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 -10.4% -19.0% 57% 21% -31.2%
≤30d 143 +0.3% -9.3% 68% 39% -11.3%
≤90d 143 +0.3% -9.3% 68% 39% -11.3%
all 143 +0.3% -9.3% 68% 39% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover66.6 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.3% 39% -11.3%
10% -17.9% 29% -19.8%
15% ← realistic here -25.9% 23% -27.6%
20% -33.1% 18% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 18% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
41% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 58% (≥$683) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +6% → late -5% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
4.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$194 vs −$486 · ×0.4 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.92 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

12d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,470
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses97 / 46
Whale WR (big bets)58%
Est. fees paid−$717
Open positions0
Markets (closed)143 / 143
History coverage12d
Avg bet$550
Trades / day66.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 143 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Valencia vs. Joventut Jun 11 $5 +$5 +97%
ITF Guimaraes: Indianna Spink vs Chelsea Fontenel Jun 11 $14 −$14 -100%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 11 $1,498 −$1,498 -100%
ITF Casablanca: Noemi Maines vs Lorena Solar Donoso Jun 11 $1,578 −$1,578 -100%
ITF Cuiaba: Sofia Cohen Perovani vs Rebeca Pereira Jun 11 $2,223 −$2,220 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? Jun 11 $286 −$14 -5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? Jun 11 $774 −$28 -4%
LoL: Galions vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $3,039 +$355 +12%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $1,253 +$1,071 +86%
LoL: Galions vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $156 +$8 +5%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $13 +$2 +16%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? Jun 10 $249 $0 +0%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $1,217 +$119 +10%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? Jun 10 $685 +$41 +6%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? Jun 10 $282 +$36 +13%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 10 $330 +$5 +2%
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30? Jun 10 $370 +$5 +1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? Jun 10 $530 −$47 -9%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Jun 10 $204 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $1,037 −$1,037 -100%
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $2,236 −$938 -42%
ITF Casablanca: Madison Sieg vs Luna Vujovic Jun 10 $1,238 +$1,286 +104%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? Jun 10 $405 +$30 +7%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 10 $642 +$40 +6%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Jun 10 $1,156 +$11 +1%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 10 $249 +$3 +1%
Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $250 +$1 +0%
ITF Tokyo: Stefani Webb vs Nanari Katsumi Jun 10 $1,169 −$1,169 -100%
Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 164.5 Jun 10 $822 −$822 -100%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? Jun 10 $368 +$4 +1%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $758 +$192 +25%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $683 +$93 +14%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $1,333 +$889 +67%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy (BO3) - Asia Masters Group B Jun 09 $272 +$28 +10%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? Jun 09 $559 +$31 +6%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 09 $300 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $1,105 −$1,066 -96%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $455 +$45 +10%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $1,031 +$1,117 +108%
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 07 $345 $0 -0%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $325 −$325 -100%
Kosovo vs. Andorra: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $1,250 +$650 +52%
Will LGD Gaming win BLAST Slam VII? Jun 07 $142 +$10 +7%
Will Team Yandex win BLAST Slam VII? Jun 07 $43 +$2 +5%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $300 +$199 +66%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $825 −$271 -33%
Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $720 −$719 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $1,045 +$98 +9%
Iran closes its airspace by June 8? Jun 07 $192 $0 +0%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $597 +$25 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? SELL No 55¢ $273 6d
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? SELL No 88¢ $263 6d
ITF Cuiaba: Sofia Cohen Perovani vs Rebeca Pereira SELL Sofia Cohen Perovani $0 6d
ITF Cuiaba: Sofia Cohen Perovani vs Rebeca Pereira SELL Sofia Cohen Perovani $1 6d
ITF Cuiaba: Sofia Cohen Perovani vs Rebeca Pereira BUY Sofia Cohen Perovani 30¢ $81 6d
ITF Cuiaba: Sofia Cohen Perovani vs Rebeca Pereira BUY Sofia Cohen Perovani 30¢ $9 6d
ITF Cuiaba: Sofia Cohen Perovani vs Rebeca Pereira BUY Sofia Cohen Perovani 40¢ $10 6d
ITF Cuiaba: Sofia Cohen Perovani vs Rebeca Pereira BUY Sofia Cohen Perovani 40¢ $3 6d
ITF Cuiaba: Sofia Cohen Perovani vs Rebeca Pereira BUY Sofia Cohen Perovani 40¢ $333 6d
ITF Cuiaba: Sofia Cohen Perovani vs Rebeca Pereira BUY Sofia Cohen Perovani 40¢ $243 6d
ITF Cuiaba: Sofia Cohen Perovani vs Rebeca Pereira BUY Sofia Cohen Perovani 40¢ $189 6d
ITF Cuiaba: Sofia Cohen Perovani vs Rebeca Pereira BUY Sofia Cohen Perovani 46¢ $910 6d
ITF Cuiaba: Sofia Cohen Perovani vs Rebeca Pereira BUY Sofia Cohen Perovani 48¢ $5 6d
ITF Cuiaba: Sofia Cohen Perovani vs Rebeca Pereira SELL Sofia Cohen Perovani 34¢ $2 6d
ITF Cuiaba: Sofia Cohen Perovani vs Rebeca Pereira BUY Sofia Cohen Perovani 44¢ $440 6d
Valencia vs. Joventut BUY Valencia 50¢ $5 6d
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY PCIFIC 74¢ $429 6d
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY PCIFIC 74¢ $11 6d
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY PCIFIC 74¢ $15 6d
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY PCIFIC 74¢ $2 6d
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY PCIFIC 74¢ $25 6d
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY PCIFIC 74¢ $16 6d
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY PCIFIC 74¢ $220 6d
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY PCIFIC 74¢ $22 6d
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY PCIFIC 72¢ $93 6d
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY PCIFIC 72¢ $0 6d
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY PCIFIC 72¢ $0 6d
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY PCIFIC 72¢ $122 6d
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY PCIFIC 72¢ $11 6d
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY PCIFIC 72¢ $58 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 936 history records