Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T03:47:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F0 0xf06d…003e crypto 143 markets active 0h ago coverage 17d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (58 trades/day) — uncopyable
Total PnL +$4,057 (+41%) realized +$4,057 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +23% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -6% what you keep after slip
Net edge-6%after slip
Net WR43%break-even
Win rate46%66W / 77L
Drawdown14%max
Avg bet$69per market
Trades / day58.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$604
7 days+$2,492
14 days+$3,933
30 days+$4,044
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$4,044
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (58 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)+10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 77 +40.6% +27.2% 49% 48% +22.5%
≤30d 143 +22.6% +10.9% 46% 43% +27.9%
≤90d 143 +22.6% +10.9% 46% 43% +27.9%
all 143 +22.6% +10.9% 46% 43% +27.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover58.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +10.9% 43% +27.9%
10% ← realistic here +0.3% 38% +15.7%
15% -9.4% 34% +4.5%
20% -18.3% 28% -5.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +41% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
6% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +23% · $-wt +41% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +4% → late +41% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
6.7 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$102 vs −$35 · ×2.92 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×2.51 per $1 lost it wins $2.51
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

17d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$4,057
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses66 / 77
Open positions0
Markets (closed)143 / 143
History coverage17d
Avg bet$69
Trades / day58.1
Drawdown14%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 143 Trades
no open positions (14 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 18 $357 +$198 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 18 $86 −$83 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 18 $43 −$41 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 18 $25 +$7 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 18 $181 +$141 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 18 $22 −$21 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 17 $18 −$18 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $156 +$44 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 17 $101 +$221 +220%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 17 $216 +$139 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$280 +1418%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 17 $238 −$213 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3AM ET Jun 16 $342 +$43 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 16 $12 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 16 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 16 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 16 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$12 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET Jun 14 $122 +$178 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $209 +$102 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$91 +1074%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $422 +$78 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $63 +$50 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $141 −$141 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$9 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET Jun 14 $135 +$187 +139%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $96 +$204 +214%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $130 +$125 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $196 +$104 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7PM ET Jun 14 $124 +$76 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $123 +$177 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $96 −$96 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $69 +$131 +191%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $69 −$69 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $108 −$108 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $22 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $15 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $320 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $0 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $0 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $0 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $0 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $0 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $0 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $0 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $0 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 23m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1111 history records