Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:08:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F0
0xf066…dd2c
tech · 3 markets active 10d ago
5.5score
+$3,687 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6,302 · open −$2,614
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY tech specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$23,386
Realized+$6,302
Unrealized−$2,614
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1 / 0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1 / 3
History coverage22d
Avg bet$12,394
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days+$6,302
30 days+$6,302
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Yes 82¢ 70¢ $20,000 $17,161 −$2,839 (-14%)
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Yes 86¢ 89¢ $6,000 $6,224 +$224 (+4%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 03 $11,000 +$6,302 +57%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
tech 70% −$2,614
crypto 30% +$6,302
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY Yes 86¢ $6,035 9d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 81¢ $18,161 9d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 87¢ $1,986 9d
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $17,302 9d
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? BUY No 42¢ $1,023 11d
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? BUY No 66¢ $9,977 31d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+42.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 1 +57.3% +42.3% 100% 100% +42.3%
≤90d 1 +57.3% +42.3% 100% 100% +42.3%
all 1 +57.3% +42.3% 100% 100% +42.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~10%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +42.3% 100% +42.3%
10% ← realistic here +28.7% 100% +28.7%
15% +16.3% 100% +16.3%
20% +4.9% 100% +4.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $23,385.55 · official $23,385.55 (match) · 6 history records