trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 15 | -22.9% | -30.2% | 40% | 40% | -18.2% |
| ≤30d | 27 | -12.5% | -20.8% | 44% | 44% | -6.6% |
| ≤90d | 77 | -0.5% | -10.0% | 66% | 51% | +1.4% |
| all | 348 | -3.7% | -12.8% | 72% | 55% | -8.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.8% | 55% | -8.3% |
| 10% | -21.2% | 26% | -17.1% |
| 15% | -28.8% | 13% | -25.1% |
| 20% | -35.8% | 7% | -32.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 77¢ | 76¢ | $139 | $138 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 18¢ | $26 | $29 | +$3 (+11%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 10¢ | $25 | $25 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 26¢ | $15 | $22 | +$7 (+50%) |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Portugal | 54¢ | 54¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $71 | +$39 | +55% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $76 | +$36 | +48% |
| Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Senegal? | Jun 16 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Senegal? | Jun 16 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Senegal? | Jun 16 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 16 | $10 | +$4 | +38% |
| France leading at halftime? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Spain leading at halftime? | Jun 15 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $10 | +$25 | +250% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $101 | +$25 | +24% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $50 | −$50 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $25 | +$36 | +142% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $15 | +$10 | +65% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $20 | +$40 | +197% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $52 | −$51 | -98% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 29 | $91 | +$33 | +36% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | May 27 | $20 | −$1 | -4% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 27 | $231 | −$15 | -7% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 26 | $30 | +$22 | +73% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 25 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 24 | $201 | +$54 | +27% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 24 | $311 | +$54 | +17% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 07 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 05 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | May 02 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | May 02 | $232 | +$140 | +61% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 30 | $121 | −$120 | -99% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Apr 27 | $511 | +$12 | +2% |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | Apr 27 | $10 | +$8 | +76% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Apr 27 | $40 | +$63 | +158% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 22 | $180 | +$153 | +85% |
| Suns vs. Lakers | Apr 11 | $450 | +$43 | +10% |
| Lakers vs. Warriors | Apr 11 | $170 | +$47 | +27% |
| Raptors vs. Celtics | Apr 10 | $20 | +$5 | +23% |
| Pelicans vs. Trail Blazers | Apr 10 | $20 | +$8 | +42% |
| Suns vs. Bulls | Apr 10 | $25 | +$5 | +21% |
| Spurs vs. Clippers | Apr 10 | $20 | +$12 | +60% |
| Cavaliers vs. Warriors | Apr 10 | $50 | +$11 | +23% |
| Lakers vs. Mavericks | Apr 05 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | Apr 02 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Nuggets vs. Jazz | Apr 02 | $100 | +$7 | +7% |
| Spurs vs. Warriors | Apr 02 | $400 | +$19 | +5% |
| Cavaliers vs. Lakers | Apr 01 | $599 | +$53 | +9% |
| Warriors vs. Nuggets | Mar 31 | $20 | +$3 | +16% |
| Timberwolves vs. Mavericks | Mar 31 | $20 | +$8 | +40% |