trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +4.5% | -5.4% | 100% | 0% | -5.4% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -28.3% | -35.1% | 67% | 33% | -8.3% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -12.4% | -20.7% | 55% | 27% | -11.8% |
| all | 11 | -12.4% | -20.7% | 55% | 27% | -11.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -20.7% | 27% | -11.8% |
| 10% | -28.3% | 18% | -20.3% |
| 15% | -35.2% | 0% | -28.0% |
| 20% | -41.6% | 0% | -35.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before GTA VI? | No | 50¢ | 50¢ | $300 | $297 | −$3 (-1%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 92¢ | 94¢ | $165 | $169 | +$4 (+2%) |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 20¢ | 20¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | No | 27¢ | 18¢ | $22 | $14 | −$8 (-35%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 21 | $26 | +$1 | +4% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Jun 04 | $136 | +$14 | +11% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | May 31 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | May 22 | $135 | +$14 | +10% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? | May 16 | $64 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? | May 16 | $290 | +$5 | +2% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 07 | $257 | −$40 | -15% |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 07 | $224 | −$8 | -4% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | May 07 | $159 | +$41 | +26% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 07 | $39 | +$12 | +32% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Mar 27 | $62 | −$62 | -100% |