Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T13:18:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F0 0xf055…4b07 crypto 861 markets active 0h ago coverage 25d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 24d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (104 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$3,931 (+11%) realized +$3,931 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR11%break-even
Win rate95%815W / 46L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$42per market
Trades / day104.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 25d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (104 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 190 -0.4% -9.9% 97% 1% -9.8%
≤30d 861 +0.8% -8.8% 95% 11% -9.6%
≤90d 861 +0.8% -8.8% 95% 11% -9.6%
all 861 +0.8% -8.8% 95% 11% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover104.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.8% 11% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -17.5% 5% -18.2%
15% -25.5% 3% -26.1%
20% -32.8% 2% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
88% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +7% → late -6% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$45 · ×0.06 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.99 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

25d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$3,931
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses815 / 46
Open positions0
Markets (closed)861 / 861
History coverage25d ⚠
Avg bet$42
Trades / day104.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 861 Trades
no open positions (4 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 19 $95 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 19 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 19 $97 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 19 $97 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 19 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 19 $94 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 19 $261 −$259 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 19 $114 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 19 $197 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 19 $142 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 19 $196 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 19 $101 +$10 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 19 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 19 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 19 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 19 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 19 $197 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 19 $93 +$7 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 19 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 19 $197 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 19 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 19 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 19 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 19 $132 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 19 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 19 $104 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 19 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 19 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 19 $112 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 19 $194 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 19 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 19 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 19 $188 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 19 $107 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 19 $185 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 19 $95 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 19 $193 +$7 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 19 $197 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 19 $185 +$15 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 19 $197 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 19 $182 −$181 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 19 $181 +$12 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 19 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 19 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 19 $104 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 19 $193 +$7 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 19 $147 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 19 $196 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 19 $124 +$5 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 19 $193 +$7 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $95 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $97 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $97 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $94 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $93 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $73 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $94 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $98 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $64 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $43 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $98 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $98 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $91 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $23 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $76 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $98 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $93 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records