Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:07:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F0
0xf051…900e
sports · 203 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$52 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$12 · open −$40
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$468
Realized−$12
Unrealized−$40
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses58 / 68
Est. fees paid−$69
Open positions76
Markets (closed)126 / 203
History coverage1d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day2338.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 76 History 126 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days−$12
14 days−$12
30 days−$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena Roberto Carballes Baena 80¢ 90¢ $28 $31 +$3 (+12%)
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Ashlyn Krueger 82¢ 100¢ $25 $30 +$5 (+22%)
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Robin Montgomery 78¢ 100¢ $23 $30 +$7 (+28%)
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Kamil Majchrzak 80¢ 100¢ $16 $20 +$4 (+25%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 Under 97¢ 97¢ $19 $19 +$0 (+0%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 53¢ 54¢ $19 $19 +$0 (+1%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? No 47¢ 46¢ $19 $19 −$0 (-1%)
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee Harmony Tan 80¢ 81¢ $16 $16 +$0 (+2%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 57¢ 100¢ $9 $15 +$6 (+76%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Taylor Fritz 68¢ 68¢ $14 $14 −$0 (-0%)
Spread: United States (-1.5) Paraguay 77¢ 78¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+2%)
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5 Under 77¢ 78¢ $11 $12 +$0 (+1%)
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Amanda Anisimova 53¢ 50¢ $11 $10 −$1 (-6%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Ben Shelton 46¢ 100¢ $5 $10 +$5 (+116%)
Maccabi Tel-Aviv vs. Hapoel Holon BC Maccabi Tel-Aviv 92¢ 100¢ $9 $10 +$1 (+8%)
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Iva Jovic 45¢ 50¢ $9 $10 +$1 (+9%)
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jiri Lehecka 54¢ 55¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+2%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5 Over 53¢ 54¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+2%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Mattia Bellucci 30¢ 32¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+6%)
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Bosnia and Herzegovina 73¢ 74¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+1%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Dane Sweeny 59¢ 56¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-4%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Under 53¢ 52¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner GenOne 34¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+194%)
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner Misa Esports 31¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+222%)
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel Taro Daniel 95¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+5%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $60 +$3 +5%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $7 $0 +3%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $30 −$10 -32%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $27 −$2 -8%
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Jun 12 $35 +$1 +4%
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins Jun 12 $2 +$3 +206%
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 12 $9 +$1 +9%
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Jun 12 $40 +$9 +22%
ITF Zagreb: Anna-Lena Friedsam vs Gina Marie Dittmann Jun 12 $0 $0 +3%
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz Jun 12 $4 +$4 +84%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Jun 12 $24 +$2 +8%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $36 +$9 +24%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 12 $16 −$4 -23%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $35 −$8 -22%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $25 +$5 +20%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $46 +$1 +3%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $28 −$3 -9%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $18 $0 +0%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $139 −$2 -2%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $24 +$1 +2%
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 12 $12 −$2 -15%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $27 $0 -1%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $15 −$4 -24%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $7 −$1 -16%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 12 $7 −$2 -31%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $66 −$4 -7%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $24 +$1 +4%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $64 +$18 +27%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $43 +$1 +2%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $10 $0 -1%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $83 −$8 -9%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $25 −$3 -10%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $16 −$2 -15%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $36 $0 -0%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julie Struplova vs Martha Matoula Jun 12 $11 $0 -0%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$7 -72%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $58 +$2 +4%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $34 +$8 +25%
Set 1 Winner: Rybakina vs Maria Jun 12 $5 +$3 +67%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva Jun 12 $9 −$1 -11%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $23 −$1 -6%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $43 −$9 -21%
ITF Guimaraes: Ariana Arseneault vs Katarina Kuzmova Jun 12 $4 +$1 +37%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $29 −$1 -4%
ITF Zagreb: Iva Primorac vs Dalila Jakupovic Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $54 −$1 -2%
ITF Hurghada: Valentina Ryser vs Gabriela Andrea Knutson Jun 12 $3 +$2 +55%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 12 $5 $0 -3%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $24 $0 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 92% −$48
other 8% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 67¢ $3 0m
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris SELL Dane Sweeny 60¢ $3 1m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 89¢ $4 2m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 67¢ $3 2m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans SELL Daniel Galan 77¢ $4 2m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Daniel Galan 77¢ $4 3m
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 96¢ $5 3m
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Carlos Maria Zarate 25¢ $1 3m
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi SELL Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 75¢ $4 3m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Kimmer Coppejans 23¢ $1 3m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 72¢ $7 3m
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee BUY Harmony Tan 78¢ $4 4m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Kimmer Coppejans 42¢ $2 4m
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Raul Brancaccio 30¢ $2 4m
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 70¢ $4 4m
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena SELL Raul Brancaccio 30¢ $4 4m
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 70¢ $4 5m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 55¢ $3 5m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 68¢ $3 5m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 33¢ $2 5m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 54¢ $3 5m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 67¢ $3 5m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 55¢ $3 6m
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 27¢ $1 6m
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez BUY Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida 68¢ $3 6m
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi SELL Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 77¢ $4 6m
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Carlos Maria Zarate 23¢ $1 6m
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee BUY Harmony Tan 83¢ $4 7m
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee SELL Lanlana Tararudee 14¢ $1 7m
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee SELL Lanlana Tararudee 14¢ $0 7m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-22.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 126 -14.2% -22.3% 46% 25% -9.8%
≤30d 126 -14.2% -22.3% 46% 25% -9.8%
≤90d 126 -14.2% -22.3% 46% 25% -9.8%
all 126 -14.2% -22.3% 46% 25% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2338.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.3% 25% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -29.8% 16% -18.4%
15% -36.6% 11% -26.3%
20% -42.8% 8% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $467.96 · official $466.30 (match) · 2415 history records