Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:40:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F0
0xf045…1ebe
other · 7 markets active 2h ago
5.0score
+$11 +46%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$11 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$14
Realized+$11
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses2 / 1
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions4
Markets (closed)3 / 7
History coverage1d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day8.0
Drawdown11%
Kalshi-fit29%
Chart Positions 4 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$11
7 days+$11
14 days+$11
30 days+$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 42¢ 42¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 80¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 25¢ 24¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $7 +$8 +109%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 +$4 +250%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 85% +$6
sports 15% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 42¢ $3 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 25¢ $2 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $3 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $15 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $6 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $7 14h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $1 14h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $2 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)+68.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +86.3% +68.5% 67% 67% +88.3%
≤30d 3 +86.3% +68.5% 67% 67% +88.3%
≤90d 3 +86.3% +68.5% 67% 67% +88.3%
all 3 +86.3% +68.5% 67% 67% +88.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +68.5% 67% +88.3%
10% +52.4% 67% +70.3%
15% +37.7% 67% +53.9%
20% +24.2% 67% +38.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13.67 · official $13.67 (match) · 9 history records