Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T19:46:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F0 0xf032…895d sports 137 markets active 2h ago coverage 56d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$782 (+1%) realized +$782 · open +$0
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR55%break-even
Win rate60%82W / 55L
Whale WR74%big bets
Drawdown96%max
Avg bet$829per market
Trades / day20.5pace
Fees−$1,391est.
Kalshi-fit96%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$117
7 days−$1,153
14 days+$208
30 days+$1,386
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 96% +$3,366
other 3% −$949
crypto 0% +$79
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-13.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -36.9% -42.9% 43% 43% -35.8%
≤30d 67 +4.8% -5.2% 67% 61% -7.8%
≤90d 137 -4.9% -13.9% 60% 55% -7.5%
all 137 -4.9% -13.9% 60% 55% -7.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover20.5 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.9% 55% -7.5%
10% -22.2% 43% -16.3%
15% ← realistic here -29.7% 31% -24.4%
20% -36.6% 19% -31.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 12% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
7% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt +2% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR 74% (≥$930) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -16% → late +7% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
6.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$313 vs −$421 · ×0.74 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.11 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

56d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$782
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses82 / 55
Whale WR (big bets)74%
Est. fees paid−$1,391
Open positions0
Markets (closed)137 / 137
History coverage56d
Avg bet$829
Trades / day20.5
Drawdown96%
Kalshi-fit96%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 137 Trades
no open positions (36 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5 Jun 20 $203 −$200 -98%
Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score Jun 20 $119 +$84 +70%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 18 $75 +$45 +60%
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $16 −$16 -100%
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 3.5 Jun 16 $982 −$972 -99%
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Jun 15 $2,241 +$257 +12%
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 Jun 15 $357 −$350 -98%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $595 +$255 +43%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $1,897 +$228 +12%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $359 +$507 +141%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $314 −$314 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $230 +$468 +204%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $700 +$344 +49%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,775 +$376 +21%
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) Jun 11 $346 −$329 -95%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $1,373 −$253 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 08 $307 +$79 +26%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $292 −$292 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $289 +$135 +47%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $115 −$105 -92%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $68 −$30 -44%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $1,473 −$1,473 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner May 31 $1,205 +$160 +13%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner May 31 $414 −$411 -99%
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) May 31 $462 +$238 +52%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 31 $654 +$166 +25%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner May 30 $413 +$687 +166%
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 4 Winner May 30 $530 +$546 +103%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 30 $450 +$150 +33%
Game Handicap: AL (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5) May 30 $1,712 +$317 +18%
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 29 $528 +$222 +42%
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 3 Winner May 29 $1,303 +$346 +27%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner May 29 $207 +$162 +78%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) May 29 $518 +$382 +74%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 29 $1,010 +$390 +39%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner May 28 $3,051 +$449 +15%
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winner May 28 $7,241 −$4,695 -65%
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 28 $907 −$907 -100%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner May 28 $4,823 +$1,972 +41%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 27 $6,807 +$357 +5%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner May 27 $1,132 +$602 +53%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner May 27 $771 +$151 +20%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 27 $5,769 +$721 +12%
Spread: Thunder (-11.5) May 27 $958 +$34 +4%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winner May 26 $1,120 +$630 +56%
Spread: Knicks (-12.5) May 26 $375 +$125 +33%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 3 Winner May 25 $345 +$225 +65%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winner May 25 $1,985 −$40 -2%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 4 Winner May 25 $330 +$25 +8%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) May 25 $763 +$376 +49%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 50¢ $203 1h
Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score BUY No 58¢ $119 20h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes $93 2d
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes $1 2d
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes $0 2d
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes $0 2d
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes $0 2d
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes $25 2d
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes $1 3d
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes $0 3d
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes $15 3d
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 48¢ $49 4d
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 66¢ $933 4d
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 76¢ $381 5d
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 93¢ $1,860 5d
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 35¢ $143 5d
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 35¢ $214 5d
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 70¢ $4 7d
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 70¢ $12 7d
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 70¢ $47 7d
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 70¢ $8 7d
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 70¢ $17 7d
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 70¢ $3 7d
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 70¢ $117 7d
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 70¢ $38 7d
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 70¢ $33 7d
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 70¢ $64 7d
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 70¢ $19 7d
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 70¢ $226 7d
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 70¢ $8 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1250 history records