Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:00:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F0
0xf032…31b8
crypto · 645 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$394 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$385 · open −$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9
Realized−$385
Unrealized−$9
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses370 / 274
Open positions1
Markets (closed)644 / 645
History coverage133d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day17.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 644 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$25
7 days+$22
14 days+$22
30 days+$22
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 46¢ 98¢ $4 $9 +$5 (+112%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 55¢ 2¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-95%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $16 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$7 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$6 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$9 +142%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$23 +431%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 09 $7 +$11 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 09 $19 −$10 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Apr 28 $18 +$6 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Apr 28 $27 −$5 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Apr 28 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Mar 30 $10 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Mar 30 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Mar 30 $10 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Mar 30 $14 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Mar 30 $1 +$1 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Mar 29 $19 −$4 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Mar 28 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Mar 28 $22 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Mar 28 $19 +$10 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Mar 28 $10 +$5 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Mar 28 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Mar 28 $21 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Mar 25 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Mar 25 $21 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Mar 25 $11 +$9 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Mar 25 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Mar 25 $20 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Mar 25 $22 +$7 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Mar 25 $22 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Mar 25 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Mar 25 $22 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Mar 25 $20 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Mar 25 $24 −$3 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Mar 25 $23 +$8 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Mar 25 $21 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Mar 25 $11 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Mar 25 $22 −$7 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Mar 25 $23 −$5 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Mar 25 $12 +$16 +132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Mar 25 $12 −$12 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$394
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $4 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $4 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $4 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $5 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $9 45d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 36¢ $8 45d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-7.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 +29.4% +17.1% 53% 47% +7.7%
≤30d 17 +29.4% +17.1% 53% 47% +7.7%
≤90d 106 -9.0% -17.7% 43% 38% -16.6%
all 644 +1.8% -7.9% 57% 53% -12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.9% 53% -12.2%
10% -16.7% 43% -20.6%
15% -24.7% 30% -28.3%
20% -32.1% 16% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.39 · official $13.34 · 3090 history records