trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? | Jun 12 | $59 | +$1 | +2% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? | Jun 12 | $98 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? | Jun 12 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? | Jun 11 | $20 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 11? | Jun 11 | $9 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10? | Jun 10 | $10 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 10? | Jun 10 | $10 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 10? | Jun 10 | $8 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 9? | Jun 09 | $86 | +$4 | +5% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 9? | Jun 09 | $9 | +$1 | +10% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 8? | Jun 08 | $9 | +$1 | +11% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 8? | Jun 08 | $7 | +$3 | +36% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8? | Jun 08 | $5 | +$1 | +27% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 4? | Jun 04 | $29 | +$4 | +15% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June? | Jun 03 | $9 | +$1 | +16% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2? | Jun 02 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May? | Jun 01 | $185 | +$7 | +4% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $219 | +$11 | +5% |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30? | May 29 | $88 | +$11 | +13% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 13 | +8.5% | -1.9% | 100% | 23% | -5.9% |
| ≤30d | 19 | +8.6% | -1.7% | 100% | 32% | -4.5% |
| ≤90d | 19 | +8.6% | -1.7% | 100% | 32% | -4.5% |
| all | 19 | +8.6% | -1.7% | 100% | 32% | -4.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -1.7% | 32% | -4.5% |
| 10% | -11.1% | 11% | -13.6% |
| 15% | -19.7% | 5% | -22.0% |
| 20% | -27.6% | 0% | -29.6% |