trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 18¢ | 81¢ | $1,744 | $7,914 | +$6,170 (+354%) |
| Spread: Thunder (-5.5) | Spurs | 46¢ | 0¢ | $115,000 | $0 | −$115,000 (-100%) |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins | Minnesota Twins | 50¢ | 0¢ | $47,591 | $0 | −$47,591 (-100%) |
| Knicks vs. Raptors | Raptors | 53¢ | 0¢ | $59,814 | $0 | −$59,814 (-100%) |
| Spread: Spurs (-7.5) | Mavericks | 49¢ | 0¢ | $19,803 | $0 | −$19,803 (-100%) |
| Spread: Raptors (-7.5) | Bulls | 51¢ | 0¢ | $107,100 | $0 | −$107,100 (-100%) |
| Lakers vs. Mavericks | Mavericks | 39¢ | 0¢ | $119,503 | $0 | −$119,503 (-100%) |
| Will Malta win Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $1,103 | $0 | −$1,103 (-100%) |
| Spread: Raptors (-8.5) | Bulls | 55¢ | 0¢ | $21,887 | $0 | −$21,887 (-100%) |
| Spread: Clippers (-9.5) | Nets | 47¢ | 0¢ | $21,520 | $0 | −$21,520 (-100%) |
| Spread: Clippers (-10.5) | Nets | 51¢ | 0¢ | $105,590 | $0 | −$105,590 (-100%) |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins | Miami Marlins | 44¢ | 0¢ | $110,244 | $0 | −$110,244 (-100%) |
| 76ers vs. Suns | Suns | 54¢ | 0¢ | $9,357 | $0 | −$9,357 (-100%) |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5) | Magic | 46¢ | 0¢ | $36,918 | $0 | −$36,918 (-100%) |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5) | Cavaliers | 47¢ | 0¢ | $91,063 | $0 | −$91,063 (-100%) |
| Hornets vs. Grizzlies | Grizzlies | 45¢ | 0¢ | $99,948 | $0 | −$99,948 (-100%) |
| Spread: Lakers (-1.5) | Bulls | 50¢ | 0¢ | $27,364 | $0 | −$27,364 (-100%) |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) | Pistons | 53¢ | 0¢ | $64,830 | $0 | −$64,830 (-100%) |
| Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) | Pittsburgh Pirates | 48¢ | 0¢ | $21,766 | $0 | −$21,766 (-100%) |
| Lakers vs. Bulls | Bulls | 47¢ | 0¢ | $126,930 | $0 | −$126,930 (-100%) |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | No | 31¢ | 0¢ | $53,043 | $0 | −$53,043 (-100%) |
| Spread: Lakers (-7.5) | Mavericks | 55¢ | 0¢ | $15,396 | $0 | −$15,396 (-100%) |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5) | Cavaliers | 51¢ | 0¢ | $85,054 | $0 | −$85,054 (-100%) |
| Spread: Spurs (-8.5) | Mavericks | 53¢ | 0¢ | $4,770 | $0 | −$4,770 (-100%) |
| Bucks vs. 76ers | Bucks | 23¢ | 0¢ | $93,158 | $0 | −$93,158 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins | Jun 12 | $47,591 | −$47,591 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Raptors | Jun 12 | $59,814 | −$59,814 | -100% |
| Spread: Spurs (-7.5) | Jun 12 | $19,803 | −$19,803 | -100% |
| Spread: Raptors (-7.5) | Jun 12 | $107,100 | −$107,100 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Mavericks | Jun 12 | $119,503 | −$119,503 | -100% |
| Spread: Raptors (-8.5) | Jun 12 | $21,887 | −$21,887 | -100% |
| Spread: Clippers (-9.5) | Jun 12 | $21,520 | −$21,520 | -100% |
| Spread: Clippers (-10.5) | Jun 12 | $105,590 | −$105,590 | -100% |
| 76ers vs. Suns | Jun 12 | $9,357 | −$9,357 | -100% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5) | Jun 12 | $36,918 | −$36,918 | -100% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5) | Jun 12 | $91,063 | −$91,063 | -100% |
| Hornets vs. Grizzlies | Jun 12 | $99,948 | −$99,948 | -100% |
| Spread: Lakers (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $27,364 | −$27,364 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Bulls | Jun 12 | $126,930 | −$126,930 | -100% |
| Spread: Lakers (-7.5) | Jun 12 | $15,396 | −$15,396 | -100% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5) | Jun 12 | $85,054 | −$85,054 | -100% |
| Spread: Spurs (-8.5) | Jun 12 | $4,770 | −$4,770 | -100% |
| Bucks vs. 76ers | Jun 12 | $93,158 | −$93,158 | -100% |
| Spread: 76ers (-10.5) | Jun 12 | $82,236 | −$82,236 | -100% |
| Spread: Hornets (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $45,628 | −$45,628 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Mavericks | Jun 12 | $18,900 | −$18,900 | -100% |
| Spread: Hawks (-4.5) | Jun 12 | $80,608 | −$80,608 | -100% |
| Nets vs. Suns | Jun 12 | $4,185 | −$4,185 | -100% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5) | Jun 12 | $6,667 | −$6,667 | -100% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5) | Jun 12 | $237 | −$237 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. 76ers | Jun 12 | $54,500 | −$54,500 | -100% |
| Nets vs. Clippers | Jun 12 | $86,245 | −$86,245 | -100% |
| Spread: Hornets (-2.5) | Jun 12 | $6,611 | −$6,611 | -100% |
| Mavericks vs. Lakers | Jun 12 | $269,101 | −$269,101 | -100% |
| Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026? | Jun 12 | $122 | −$122 | -100% |
| Pacers vs. Hawks | Jun 12 | $18,233 | −$18,233 | -100% |
| Spread: Lakers (-3.5) | Jun 12 | $60,305 | −$60,305 | -100% |
| Spread: 76ers (-9.5) | Jun 12 | $4,152 | −$4,152 | -100% |
| Spread: Raptors (-2.5) | Jun 12 | $1,749 | −$1,749 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Nets | Jun 12 | $38,689 | −$38,689 | -100% |
| Spread: Spurs (-6.5) | Jun 12 | $2,289 | −$2,289 | -100% |
| Spread: Clippers (-8.5) | Jun 12 | $627 | −$627 | -100% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $407,785 | +$694,336 | +170% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 12 | $2,347 | +$3,241 | +138% |
| Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5) | Jun 12 | $6,038 | +$4,196 | +70% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $705 | −$705 | -100% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $106,797 | +$13,200 | +12% |
| Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) | Jun 11 | $21,766 | −$21,766 | -100% |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Jun 11 | $203,918 | −$203,906 | -100% |
| Spread: Mexico (-2.5) | Jun 11 | $44,104 | +$10,345 | +24% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 | Jun 11 | $1,625 | −$1,625 | -100% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $53,043 | −$53,043 | -100% |
| Spread: Spurs (-2.5) | Jun 11 | $2,726 | +$1,894 | +70% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $112,636 | +$95,950 | +85% |
| Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) | Jun 10 | $715 | −$715 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 50 | -74.6% | -77.0% | 14% | 14% | -52.0% |
| ≤30d | 64 | -44.7% | -50.0% | 14% | 12% | -60.0% |
| ≤90d | 64 | -44.7% | -50.0% | 14% | 12% | -60.0% |
| all | 64 | -44.7% | -50.0% | 14% | 12% | -60.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -50.0% | 12% | -60.0% |
| 10% | -54.8% | 11% | -63.9% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -59.1% | 9% | -67.3% |
| 20% | -63.1% | 9% | -70.6% |