trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +76.6% | +59.8% | 57% | 57% | +102.6% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +76.6% | +59.8% | 57% | 57% | +102.6% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +76.6% | +59.8% | 57% | 57% | +102.6% |
| all | 23 | +4.1% | -5.8% | 48% | 39% | +54.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -5.8% | 39% | +54.6% |
| 10% | -14.8% | 39% | +39.8% |
| 15% | -23.1% | 35% | +26.3% |
| 20% | -30.6% | 35% | +13.9% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $31 | +$69 | +226% |
| United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score | Jun 19 | $41 | −$40 | -99% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $51 | +$51 | +101% |
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Draw at halftime? | Jun 19 | $20 | +$23 | +114% |
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score | Jun 18 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 9.5 Total Corners | Jun 18 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $51 | +$203 | +396% |
| Will Logan Paul score a TD during Flag Football Classic? | Mar 21 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Big Game: Odd/Even Total Points | Feb 09 | $5 | +$6 | +110% |
| Will Perplexity run an Ad during Super Bowl LX? | Feb 09 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Nvidia run an Ad during Super Bowl LX? | Feb 08 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Big Game: Coin Toss | Feb 08 | $5 | +$5 | +96% |
| Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be blue? | Feb 08 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Feb 07 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? | Jan 14 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| 49ers vs. Colts | Dec 23 | $50 | +$12 | +23% |
| Warriors vs. Rockets | Jul 21 | $1 | +$1 | +59% |
| Tom Cruise and Ana de Armas confirmed relationship by April? | Jul 21 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jul 21 | $3 | +$5 | +163% |
| Nuggets vs. Clippers | Jul 21 | $15 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will another person be the next Pope? | May 08 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025? | Apr 30 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 25 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |