Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T04:40:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.0
score
F0 0xf022…010c crypto 1477 markets active 1h ago coverage 94d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$1,069 (+10%) realized +$1,069 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -12% what you keep after slip
Net edge-12%after slip
Net WR60%break-even
Win rate60%891W / 585L
Drawdown63%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day16.7pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit75%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$90
7 days+$308
14 days+$481
30 days+$905
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 73% +$741
other 26% +$156
sports 1% −$36
politics 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)-4.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 111 +23.0% +11.3% 69% 69% +4.3%
≤30d 1028 +6.0% -4.1% 60% 60% -2.4%
≤90d 1441 +5.8% -4.3% 60% 60% -3.0%
all 1476 +5.2% -4.8% 60% 60% -3.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover16.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -4.8% 60% -3.2%
10% -13.9% 59% -12.5%
15% -22.2% 49% -20.9%
20% -29.9% 32% -28.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +8% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +5% · $-wt +8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +8% → late +2% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$7 · ×0.79 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.2 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

94d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,069
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses891 / 585
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1476 / 1477
History coverage94d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day16.7
Drawdown63%
Kalshi-fit75%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1476 Trades
no open positions (255 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 23 $18 +$11 +60%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 23 $31 −$30 -98%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 23 $31 +$20 +65%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 23 $17 −$16 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 23 $32 +$117 +368%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 23 $31 −$30 -97%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 23 $4 −$4 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 23 $30 −$29 -95%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 23 $31 +$13 +42%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 22 $31 −$30 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 22 $30 +$9 +29%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 22 $32 −$30 -95%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 22 $31 −$30 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 22 $31 +$40 +129%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 22 $13 +$8 +60%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 22 $21 −$20 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 22 $14 +$4 +25%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 22 $16 +$7 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 22 $32 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 22 $16 +$25 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 22 $32 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 22 $31 −$30 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 22 $31 +$21 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 22 $15 −$14 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 22 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 21 $31 +$31 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 21 $30 +$8 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 21 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 21 $31 +$26 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 21 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 21 $31 +$30 +97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 21 $9 +$3 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 21 $31 +$23 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 21 $31 +$20 +65%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 21 $15 +$9 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 21 $31 +$20 +65%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 21 $23 +$10 +42%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 21 $31 +$12 +38%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 21 $6 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 21 $30 +$9 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 21 $32 −$30 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 20 $31 +$13 +44%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 20 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 20 $31 −$30 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 20 $30 +$8 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 20 $31 +$38 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 20 $30 +$7 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 20 $31 +$20 +64%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 20 $16 +$6 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 20 $31 −$30 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $18 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $31 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $31 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $17 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $32 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $31 4h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $4 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $30 4h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $31 4h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $31 14h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $30 16h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $32 17h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $31 17h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $31 18h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $13 18h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $21 18h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $14 19h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $16 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $32 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $16 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $32 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $31 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $31 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $15 26h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $31 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $30 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $31 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $31 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 35h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2798 history records