Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:04:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F0
0xf021…e900
sports · 177 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$9,532 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4,199 · open +$2,345
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9,682
Realized+$4,199
Unrealized+$2,345
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses93 / 83
Whale WR (big bets)73%
Est. fees paid−$2,015
Open positions13
Markets (closed)176 / 177
History coverage14d
Avg bet$1,109
Trades / day237.8
Drawdown89%
Kalshi-fit63%
Chart Positions 13 History 176 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2,583
7 days+$1,496
14 days+$2,306
30 days+$4,199
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 5¢ 96¢ $226 $4,676 +$4,450 (+1971%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Under 12¢ 64¢ $499 $2,727 +$2,228 (+447%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Under 95¢ 94¢ $1,000 $990 −$11 (-1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Under 61¢ 100¢ $207 $341 +$134 (+65%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Over 84¢ 100¢ $255 $302 +$47 (+18%)
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Qatar 78¢ 95¢ $227 $276 +$49 (+22%)
Switzerland to win the second half? No 37¢ 57¢ $95 $146 +$51 (+54%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Qatar 42¢ 70¢ $49 $82 +$33 (+68%)
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Under 86¢ 86¢ $74 $74 +$0 (+1%)
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? No 5¢ 14¢ $15 $42 +$26 (+170%)
Will SD Almeria achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season? Yes 41¢ 34¢ $31 $25 −$6 (-19%)
Switzerland leading at halftime? No 5¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-99%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5 Under 5¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$26 (-99%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Under 25¢ 0¢ $94 $0 −$94 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? No 2¢ 4¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+124%)
Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5 Under 27¢ 0¢ $408 $0 −$408 (-100%)
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 0.5 Under 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 4.5 Under 82¢ 0¢ $192 $0 −$192 (-100%)
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Under 1¢ 0¢ $229 $0 −$229 (-100%)
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-05-17? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
France leading at halftime? No 45¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bosnia-Herzegovina leading at halftime? No 18¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 4.5 Under 17¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 Under 14¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will RCA Zemamra win on 2026-06-09? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-05-17? Jun 13 $1 +$58 +5778%
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-17? Jun 13 $100 −$120 -120%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18? Jun 13 $25 −$130 -522%
Falkirk FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-05-16? Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Will SK Brann win on 2026-05-16? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Palermo FC vs. US Catanzaro 1929: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $75 −$55 -73%
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $197 −$187 -95%
Will CD Palestino win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $2,417 −$230 -10%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $6,563 +$623 +10%
Spread: United States (-2.5) Jun 13 $1,428 +$91 +6%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $764 +$262 +34%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $2,247 −$372 -17%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $4,654 +$678 +15%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $4,032 +$634 +16%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $3,173 +$856 +27%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $2,956 −$626 -21%
Bosnia-Herzegovina leading at halftime? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $279 +$9 +3%
Canada leading at halftime? Jun 12 $1,011 −$21 -2%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $1,596 +$379 +24%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $73 +$18 +24%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $51 −$24 -46%
Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $174 −$19 -11%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2,062 +$746 +36%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1,768 −$314 -18%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $400 −$400 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $240 −$196 -81%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $8,488 +$1,000 +12%
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $93 +$10 +10%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $17 −$2 -12%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 11 $394 +$20 +5%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $305 −$185 -60%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2,501 +$76 +3%
Mexico leading at halftime? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $725 −$33 -5%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1,010 +$244 +24%
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $121 −$69 -57%
England vs. Costa Rica: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $1,386 +$51 +4%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $833 +$252 +30%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $203 +$54 +27%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $639 $0 +0%
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $397 −$32 -8%
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $907 +$635 +70%
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) Jun 10 $171 −$52 -30%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $395 +$114 +29%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 62% +$3,765
other 34% +$3,495
crypto 4% −$235
world 0% +$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 95¢ $500 0m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 95¢ $501 0m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 5¢ $5 0m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 0m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 4¢ $5 0m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 5¢ $0 0m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 5¢ $2 0m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 5¢ $2 0m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 5¢ $2 0m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 5¢ $2 0m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 5¢ $2 0m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 5¢ $25 0m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 5¢ $10 0m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 5¢ $35 0m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 5¢ $2 0m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 5¢ $2 0m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 5¢ $6 0m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 5¢ $2 0m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 5¢ $2 0m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 5¢ $0 0m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 5¢ $51 1m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 4¢ $4 1m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 4¢ $15 1m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 4¢ $44 1m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 4¢ $5 1m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 1m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 1m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 96¢ $444 1m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 96¢ $1,951 1m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 1¢ $1 2m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-3.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 106 +11.2% +0.6% 44% 26% -8.2%
≤30d 176 +6.4% -3.7% 53% 31% -6.0%
≤90d 176 +6.4% -3.7% 53% 31% -6.0%
all 176 +6.4% -3.7% 53% 31% -6.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover237.8 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.7% 31% -6.0%
10% -13.0% 20% -15.0%
15% ← realistic here -21.4% 11% -23.2%
20% -29.1% 9% -30.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9,682.18 · official $9,645.85 (match) · 3500 history records