trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $4 | −$3 | -74% |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30? | Jun 10 | $3 | −$2 | -71% |
| Spread: Golden Knights (-2.5) | Jun 10 | $2 | $0 | +20% |
| Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) | Jun 07 | $5 | +$2 | +38% |
| Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) | Jun 03 | $1 | +$1 | +52% |
| Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Colum | May 31 | $1 | $0 | +41% |
| Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Co | May 31 | $25 | +$104 | +415% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31? | May 30 | $1 | $0 | +9% |
| Hurricanes vs. Canadiens | May 26 | $1 | +$1 | +73% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -21.7% | -29.2% | 50% | 50% | -27.5% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +40.4% | +27.0% | 70% | 60% | +199.0% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +40.4% | +27.0% | 70% | 60% | +199.0% |
| all | 10 | +40.4% | +27.0% | 70% | 60% | +199.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +27.0% | 60% | +199.0% |
| 10% | +14.9% | 50% | +170.4% |
| 15% | +3.8% | 50% | +144.2% |
| 20% | -6.4% | 30% | +120.3% |